Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 7

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) On My Honor steps up after rallying for second but should work out a winning trip from the rail (6) Run Jalen Run drops into a claimer and looks like the one to fear. (4) Edified may wake up in this spot. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

4th race – (9) High Summer takes a big drop into a claimer and should handle this bunch. (10) Madame Markievicz fits nicely here. (6) Jailhouse Religion could wake up here. (8) Streaking has speed and may be tough to catch here. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-8-9-10. Doubles: 6-8-9-10 with 1-2-4-6.

5th race – (4) Chasing the Dream disappointed last time but can wake up in this spot. (1) Wadsworth has been away for more than a year but if ready can be a force here. (2) Mr. Wireless may respond to a surface change. (6) Harlan Estate could be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-6.

7th race – (9) One True Shance was a sharp debut winner and can make it two in a row off the Kenneally claim. (7) Eighty West was third last time but looks like the main rival here. (6) Trilla will appreciate a return to a sprint. (8) Jackson’s Roar could make some noise here. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-9. Doubles: 6-7-8-9 with 1-3-6-7.

8th race - (7) Sashay Away gets some class relief after racing in a graded stakes and looks best here. (3) Sweet Treasure has a nice turn of speed and may not be caught. (1) Poppy the Princess will benefit from a rail trip. (6) Zealous Moon cannot be ignored here. Betting strategy: 7  to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.