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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 15

                                                                   By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman                                                       

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (6) Derrick was a game third in his debut and should post a maiden win here in a claimer. (8) Active Duty will welcome a return to a claimer. (2) Luna Vieja fits in nicely here. (4) Game Warden looms a threat in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-8.

3rd race – (3) Stanley Market steps up off a claim after a good second but can work out a good trip here. (5) Donya Know It  takes a suspicious drop off a big win but looms as the one to fear. (1) Priddis has enough speed to be a threat from the rail. (10) Tap N Sway might wake up here. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-10. Doubles: 1-3-5-10 with 2-3-5-7. Pick 3: 1-3-5-10 with 2-3-5-7 with 4-6-8-9.

4th race – (5) Scatlie missed by a head last time and seems poised for a winning effort here. (7) Cowichan returns from a layoff and looks like the main threat. (2) Mon Dieu is a firster who can be troublesome here. (3) Red River Magic was second in her debut and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-7. Doubles: 2-3-5-7 with 4-6-8-9.

5th race – (8) B Wayne was widely regarded and heavily bet before his disappointing debut. Deserves a second chance here. (9) Omex was fourth in a stakes and should be the main rival. (4) Mo Rhodes can move forward off a useful debut. (6) Northen Flame was third last time and may take a step forward here. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place.  Exacta box: 4-6-8-9.

8th race – (2) Normandy Hero took a big step forward in his second start and should produce another strong effort here. (3) American Rascal returns from Royal Ascot and has been working sharply. (5) Call Me Andy has been turning in good efforts in stakes company and figures to be a big threat here. (6) Balta has a nice turn of speed and could hang around until the end. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-6.