Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 20

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (4) Seven Taylors returns to a claimer and looks like the one to beat. (5) Trap Line steps up off a claim and may like dirt. (6) Sound of Victory may show improvement in a claimer. (7) Lebombo gets back on dirt where he’s done his best running. Betting strategy: 4  to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7. Doubles: 4-5-6-7 with 1-2-5-7.

2nd race – (2) Summer of Mischief is in great form and should win off the Cox claim. (7) Mazoku looks like the main rival. (1) Sequin Lady figures to be closing quickly at the end. (5) Forever Home exits a solid win.  Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-7.

4th race – (2) Truthorconsequence is working smartly for her debut and gets the nod. (10) Stylet is another promising firster. (9) Amarth also merits attention in her debut. (11) Northern Voyage may benefit from her debut. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-9-10-11.

6th race – (2) Lucy Got Game disappointed last time but can wake up in a claimer. (3) Eyes of Gold can make things interesting in the final furlong. (6) Wee Bit O Mischief fits nicely here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6.

9th race – (2) Tweetster was second last time and has worked sharply for this try. (8) Peignoir may appreciate a surface switch. (1) Curlin’s Magic could be a threat in her first start for McPeek. (5) Amber Cascade can make her presence felt in this field. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-8.