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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 22

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (2) Blue Kentucky has been second or third in his last three starts and looks best here. (4) Bourbon Spirit won easily last time and looks like the one to fear. (1) Solidify will welcome a return to turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.

4th race – (6) Flotation Station was third in two MSW starts and should prevail in a claimer. (1) Rivetag will find the going easier in a claimer. (9) Chryso Alogo was fourth in her debut and cannot be ignored. (4) This Time Blue is worth a look in his debut. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-9. Doubles: 1-4-6-9 with 4-5-8-9.

5th race – (4) Muazarah was third in his debut for Pletcher and seems poised for a winning try. (8) Informed Patriot showed speed in his first start and may not look back here.  (9) Masmak could be a threat in his debut. (5) Lat Long might be a live one in his debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-8-9.

7th race – (1) Otto the Conqueror was a game second in his debut and should post a maiden win today. (7) Title Contender is working like a main contender in this spot. (8) Bourbon’s Fault has looked sharp in work for his debut. (4) Time Song can move forward off a third in his first start. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-4-7-8.

10th race – (8) Sister Maha gets back on dirt and looks like the most likely winner. (6) Methodology was a distant second and looms as the major threat. (2) Misintention seems well-meant here. (3) Leaflet should be a factor in the stretch. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-8.