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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 23

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (2) Buchu had a rough trip in his turf debut and deserves a second chance. (10) Weighted Average should be closing fast at the end. (9) Luz Divina was third after a wide trip last time and promises to be a main threat. (6) Yammy Yammy Bella was a surprising second last time and deserves some attention. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-9-10

3rd race – (4) Escapologist will welcome a return to dirt after flopping on turf. (5) Route Runner should know the path to the winner’s circle. (2) Weslan looks like a stretch threat. (3) Bright Spark fits in nicely here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.

6th race – (3) Street Ready was bumped and never fired last time. Gets a second chance in this field. (7) Vintage Print has an effective late kick. (6) Gray’s Fable exits stales company and gets class relief. (8) War Campaign will welcome a shorter distance. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-7-8. Doubles: 3-6-7-8 with 2-4-5-7.

7th race – (2) Slip Mahoney missed by a neck in the St. Louis Derby and makes amends here. (4) Shirl’s Bee makes his U.S. debut and is worth a long look. (5) Oscar Eclipse won easily last time and cannot be ignored. (7) Big Data is dangerous on his best try.  Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-4-5-7.

10th race – (1) Yesternight was a game second in a Parx stakes and looks best here. (9) Alexa Lou seeks a third straight win and will be a main player. (2) Metaphysical could sneak into the picture late. (3) Flamand can make her presence felt.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-9.