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Keeneland Select

Churchill Downs Hotlist - September 24

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman 

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Attache (B) lacked room when second against better company. Atones for that loss here. (2) Power Alley drops into a claimer and looks like the main rival. (3) Seas of Normandy rallied to break his maiden and should be a stretch threat here.  Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3.

3rd race – (1) New Boss had a bumpy, wide trip in a stakes. Gets better racing luck from the rail. (3) Goin Good has been no worse than third in five of her last six starts. That consistency makes her a big factor here. (8) Star Devine should appreciate the turnback to a sprint. (4) Linguistic could work out a good trip here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-8.

6th race – (2) Greers Ferry was an improved second last time and should be able to handle this field based on his pedigree. (3) Smokey Smokey has been third and second in his two starts and looks like the one to fear. (4) Snead rallied wide for third in his debut and can take a step forward here. (12) Polar Bear Plunge may warm up on turf. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-12.

8th race – (3) Port Townsend showed speed when fourth in her debut and may hang on here. (8) Musical Prayer seems sharp for her career debut. (2) Cobalamin also seems on edge for her first start. (1) Souper Explosive cannot be ignored from the rail. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-3-8. Doubles: 1-2-3-8 with 5-6-8-9.

9th race – (5) Highland Falls won his career debut for Cox and can make it two in a row here. (8) Bramito was bumped as the favorite and didn’t fire. Gets a second chance here. (9) Dai Vernon woke up on dirt and should not be overlooked. (6) Saqeel has enough speed to be a threat in this field. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-8-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(1)AttacheB, 9/161 CDFinished a troubled second