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Keeneland Select

Ellis Park Hotlist - July 1

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (7) Sapphire Nights was a game second last time and should prevail here. (4) Our Keepsake could be a factor in her debut. (5) Whatta World will be tough in a claimer. (2) Bootsy’s Merlot fits in nicely here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-7. Doubles: 2-4-5-7 with 1-3-4-6.

2nd race – (3) Pumpkin Scone (C) was bet down from 3-2 to even money and finished second in her debut. Gets the job done here. (1) Fancy will be a main factor from the rail. (4) Mo Blooms seems set for a solid effort in her debut. (6) Absinthe put in a bullet work for this and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-6.

6th race – (2) Bango has been no worse than second in his last six starts and looks best here. (3) Miles Ahead was second to the top choice in May and should be the main foe. (7) Tejano Twist will be a threat in the final furlong. (1) Fortin Hill should make his presence felt from the rail. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7.

8th race – (6) A Mo Reay has been facing Grade 1 company and has a class edge. (2) Moon Swag was hurt by a wide trip and should be closer here. (1) Bellamore will benefit from a turf to dirt switch. (5) Pauline’s Pearl is a threat on her best try. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

10th race  – (4) Rattle N Roll owns three straight graded stakes wins and can make it four in a row here. (1) Proxy looked good winning the Oaklawn Handicap but rarely wins in back-to-back starts. (5) Smile Happy was a sharp winner of the Alysheba and can handle this field. (6) West Will Power has the kind of speed that will make him a major force here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-6.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(3)Pumpkin SconeC, 5/282 EPWas a sharp second in her debut