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Keeneland Select

Ellis Park Hotlist - June 30

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (1) Non Violence (B) comes off an easy win and can make it two in a row here. (6) Portilla had a useful comeback start and should be tougher here. (4) Mercy Warren could be hard to catch here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6.

4th race – (4) Hay Stack didn’t fire in her first try against winners and could rebound here. (1) Bolivie will benefit from a rail trip. (5) Bling was a close third last time and cannot be ignored. (8) Clever Joke may get the last laugh here. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-8. Doubles: 1-4-5-8 with 1-2-10-11.

5th race – (2) Too Fast for You (D) was bet down from 2-1 to 8-5 and showed high speed before tiring late. Hangs on today. (1) Love to Eat looms a threat in her debut. (10) Copper Em could make some noise in her debut. (11) Candy Oak deserves some consideration here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-10-11.

7th race – (2) Tapit’s Conquest was a clear second to a top Baffert runner and gets a win here. (3) Magic Tap was an easy winner in his second start and should be the main rival. (4) Hurry Hurry could last for a share of the purse. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4.

9th race – (1) Kupuna was second in his last two starts and seems overdue for a win. (6) Best Actor is a graded stakes winner making his first start since September who should pose the biggest threat to the top choice. (2) Great Escape looks like the one to reel in here. (3) Chasing Time belongs in the exotics in this field. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-6.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
(1)Non ViolenceB, 5/252 EPWon easily last time     
(2)Too Fast for YouD, 5/115 EPMight hang on today