Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET | ||||
BEST BET: #3 SHES A LUCKY REBEL | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 3 | Shes a Lucky Rebel | R Gutierrez |
PLACE | 5-1 | 4 | Mo Smoking | J Loveberry |
SHOW | 9-2 | 2 | Calling | B J Hernandez Jr. |
WILD CARD | 7-2 | 8 | Two Jet | C J Lanerie |
ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 1 | Starsnmotion | L Saez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 5-1 | 6 | Lightening Mo | C J Hernandez |
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX | ||||
RACE #2 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 6 | Comparative | L Saez |
PLACE | 7-2 | 3 | Sweet Chablis | R Gutierrez |
SHOW | 6-1 | 2 | Raggity Sand | J Loveberry |
WILD CARD | 9-2 | 7 | Nancy Spain | C J Lanerie |
ALTERNATE 1 | 4-1 | 1 | Amisfield | T Gaffalione |
ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 8 | Persimmon Hill | D Cohen |
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX | ||||
RACE #3 $70,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 4 | Hard Four | D L Parker |
PLACE | 4-1 | 5 | Relic Hunter | J Loveberry |
SHOW | 5-1 | 6 | Field of Vision | C J Hernandez |
WILD CARD | 6-1 | 11 | Lil Woadie | E M Murray |
ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 1A | Tambourine Star | J R Velazquez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 10-1 | 10 | Blindedbythegees | T J Hebert |
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/11 BOX | ||||
RACE #4 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET | ||||
BEST BET: #2 MERLAZZA | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 5-2 | 2 | Merlazza | F Geroux |
PLACE | 4-1 | 9 | Huntress for Hire | B J Hernandez Jr. |
SHOW | 5-1 | 4 | Ornately | T Gaffalione |
WILD CARD | 10-1 | 12 | Mystical Fire | E Morales |
ALTERNATE 1 | 10-1 | 6 | Perfect Wish | C J Lanerie |
ALTERNATE 2 | 20-1 | 3 | Urban Force | J Loveberry |
* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 4/9/12 BOX | ||||
RACE #5 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 6-1 | 6 | Quaternion | R Gutierrez |
PLACE | 3-1 | 5 | Bishops Bay | F Geroux |
SHOW | 4-1 | 1 | First Mission | L Saez |
WILD CARD | 5-1 | 2 | Unload | B J Hernandez Jr. |
ALTERNATE 1 | 5-1 | 3 | Ocean City | J R Velazquez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 4-1 | 1A | St. Johns | T Gaffalione |
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX | ||||
RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:31 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 ALBERT M STALL MEMORIAL | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 3 | Lake Lucerne | T Gaffalione |
PLACE | 6-1 | 7 | Trail Ridge Road | J Loveberry |
SHOW | 4-1 | 2 | Clara Peeters | C J Lanerie |
WILD CARD | 4-1 | 5 | Island Hideaway | R Gutierrez |
ALTERNATE 1 | 5-1 | 11 | Shotgun Hottie | J R Velazquez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 5-1 | 4 | My Philly Twirl | F Geroux |
* EXACTA: 2,3,5,7 Box | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2,3,7/2,3,7,11/2,3,4,5,7,11 | ||||
COMMENTS: LAKE LUCERNE ran better pace numbers in the early part of her last race and then better times in the second half. TRAIL RIDGE ROADs trainer Chris Block does not enter many at this level but hits a 22 percent when he does. CLARA PETERS has a strong late pace edge and it gets bigger if the 11 is not entered. ISLAND HIDEAWAY should not be too far from the leaders at the start and is super dangerous if she is close coming out of the turn. | ||||
RACE #7 $70,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:02 PM ET | ||||
BEST BET: #7 WOODYTHEBIDSPOTTER | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 7-2 | 7 | Woodythebidspotter | F Geroux |
PLACE | 9-2 | 1 | Baseline Beater | C J Lanerie |
SHOW | 5-1 | 6 | Gametime Gladiator | R Gutierrez |
WILD CARD | 8-1 | 9 | Kigali | J R Velazquez |
ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 3 | Julias Warrior | T J Hebert |
ALTERNATE 2 | 10-1 | 11 | Fightn Ready | E Morales |
* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX | ||||
RACE #8 $70,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 5 | First Defender | J R Velazquez |
PLACE | 5-2 | 6 | Banishing | T Gaffalione |
SHOW | 6-1 | 8 | Willakenzie | F Geroux |
WILD CARD | 9-2 | 4 | Tapit Shoes | L Saez |
ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 1 | Cagliostro | B J Hernandez Jr. |
ALTERNATE 2 | 5-1 | 7 | Denington | C J Lanerie |
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX | ||||
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 COLONEL POWER STAKES | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 5-2 | 8 | Surveillance | J Graham |
PLACE | 5-1 | 6 | Manny Wah | C J Lanerie |
SHOW | 7-2 | 1 | Ice Chocolat | R Gutierrez |
WILD CARD | 10-1 | 4 | Pyron | D Carroll |
ALTERNATE 1 | 9-2 | 7 | Angaston | M Murrill |
ALTERNATE 2 | 5-1 | 10 | My Pal Mattie | M Murrill |
* EXACTA: 1,4,6,8 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 6,8/1,4,6,7,8/1,4,6,7,8,10 | ||||
COMMENTS: This is a race with a lot of question marks. There are a bunch of AEs and horses that have been on the bench for a while. SURVIELLANCEs jockey and trainer combo won four of seven together for a positive return on investment. MANNY WAH has the most zip at the end for this bunch and should be in touch with this crew coming out of the turn. ICE CHOCOLAT might look like a closer on paper but his early pace should put him near the front from go to photo. PYRON should be competitive versus this field and has plenty of back class. | ||||
RACE #10 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:37 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 MINESHAFT STAKES GRADE III | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 4-1 | 3 | Tawny Port | F Geroux |
PLACE | 7-2 | 6 | Happy American | J Graham |
SHOW | 10-1 | 2 | Run Classic | R Gutierrez |
WILD CARD | 9-2 | 7 | Pioneer of Medina | L Saez |
ALTERNATE 1 | 6-1 | 1 | Hoist the Gold | B J Hernandez Jr. |
ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 5 | Big Blue Line | C J Lanerie |
* EXACTA: 1,2,3,5,6,7/3,6 | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2,3,6/2,3,6,7/1,2,3,6,7 | ||||
COMMENTS: TWANY PORT has faced far higher caliber horses than he is catching here. He wins if he runs back to his Jim Dandy Stakes form. HAPPY AMERICAN won two in a row. He could be hard to hold off if he is close coming out of the turn. RUN CLASSIC should be involved from beginning to end. He just needs to run a consistent race from start to finish. PIONEER OF MEDINA upped his internal race numbers from start to finish in his last outing. The same race makes him a prime contender. | ||||
RACE #11 $150,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:09 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 FAIR GROUNDS STAKES GRADE III | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 7-2 | 4 | Gentle Soul | R Gutierrez |
PLACE | 3-1 | 2 | Two Emmys | J Graham |
SHOW | 8-1 | 7 | Corelli | F Geroux |
WILD CARD | 6-1 | 3 | Cavalry Charge | D Cohen |
ALTERNATE 1 | 8-1 | 6 | Pixelate | L Saez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 9-2 | 1 | Tiz the Bomb | B J Hernandez Jr. |
* EXACTA: 2,4/1,2,3,4,6,7 | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2,4,7/2,4,7/1,2,3,4,6,7 | ||||
COMMENTS: GENTLE SOUL is a versatile soul as he can win from the front or middle or back. He should be really comfortable versus mostly one dimensional horses. TWO EMMYS has three wins with four seconds and a third in 10 at the Fair Grounds. CORELLI has a powerful late surge and has a lot of room to up his game in the second start after more than a year in the barn. CAVALRY CHARGE could be a little bit of a price play. He has some back class and tied the best turf number for this group. | ||||
RACE #12 $300,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:41 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 RACHEL ALEXANDRA STAKES GRADE II | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 6-5 | 2 | Hoosier Philly | E Morales |
PLACE | 8-1 | 1 | Vahva | L Saez |
SHOW | 8-5 | 4 | Chop Chop | F Geroux |
WILD CARD | 9-2 | 5 | Pretty Mischievous | T Gaffalione |
ALTERNATE 1 | 12-1 | 6 | Miracle | J R Velazquez |
ALTERNATE 2 | 12-1 | 3 | Knockyoursocksoff | F Prat |
* EXACTA: 2/1,4 BOX | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/1,4/1,4,5 | ||||
COMMENTS: HOOSIER PHILLY is yet to be tested in three races with comments like frolicked or easily. VAHVA has the ability to pull off the upset if she handles two turns better in the second try. A few nice workouts between races suggest she will improve today. CHOP CHOP ran the highest last race speed figure as a beaten favorite in her first outing since the Breeders Cup. Her thin resume says she will pick up the output today. Take your pick from the rest as they are most likely running for third at best. | ||||
RACE #13 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:14 PM ET | ||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400,000 RISEN STAR STAKES GRADE II | ||||
PICK ORDER | M/L | P# | HORSE NAME | JOCKEY |
WIN | 3-1 | 13 | Victory Formation | F Prat |
PLACE | 12-1 | 14 | Private Creed | T Gaffalione |
SHOW | 6-1 | 8 | Tapits Conquest | F Geroux |
WILD CARD | 8-1 | 4 | Determinedly | R Gutierrez |
ALTERNATE 1 | 12-1 | 11 | Silver Heist | C J Lanerie |
ALTERNATE 2 | 8-1 | 10 | Two Phils | J Loveberry |
* EXACTA: 8,13,14/4,8,10,11,13,14 | ||||
* TRIFECTA: 13,14/8,13,14/4,8,10,11,13,14 | ||||
COMMENTS: VICTORY FORMATION has a plus advantage over this field when you combine early and late pace numbers. PRIVATE CREED never finished out of the money in six starts and has the ability to compete from any position on the track. TAPITS CONQUEST got off to a sluggish start in his last finishing second by a neck. Some strong workouts at Fair Grounds between races say he will be sharper today. DETERMINEDLY is a different horse after returning to dirt following three races on grass. He puts forth consistent effort but might be missing that ability to take it up a notch. He is who he is as Dennis Green might say. |