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Keeneland Select

Gulfstream Park FULLCARD Hotlist - April 1

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:
 A:
A preferred horse to watch  B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (10) May Fane debuts for Mott who has been enjoying a hot hand with his first-time starters. (7) Gloria’s Princess is another firster who merits attention. (8) I’m a Sure Thing was third in her last two starts and belongs in the exotics. (3) Prequisite is a Chad Brown firster who merits attention.

2nd race – (2) Sterling Harmony was second at this level last time and should break his maiden today. (12) Awesome Crusader is 0-for-18 but has been second nine times. (1) Nowitzki is a firster who can have an impact here. (6) Jerry’s Turn should be a factor in this group.

3rd race - (3) Harry Time was third and then second in his first two  U.S. starts and seems primed for a victory here. (8) King’s Fortune was a sharp debut winner on Tapeta and will be a force if he handles turf. (9) Anglophile has been away since July but has showed some spark in recent works. (5) Spy Novel posted a third straight win and fits in nicely here.

4th race – (9) Bright Future has been idle since June but Pletcher is a master at winning after long layoffs. (1) Giant Game has the rail and looks like the main rival. (5) Frosted Armour was claimed in his last three starts and should be a contender here. (4) Dr. Blute exits a stakes and is worth a look.

5th race – Pan American Stakes (G2) - (2) Novo Sol was third in this stakes last year and can get the job done today. (7) Abaan has been faltering lately but has enough speed to be dangerous on his best try. (1) Wicked Fast figures to benefit from a rail trip in this three-turn test. (5) Therapist has lots of back class but is a question mark at the distance.

6th race – (10) Get Your Kicks was fractious at the gate in her debut on the main track, but should be better suited on turf for Chad Brown. (1) Mirabella also switches to turf and merits some attention. (11) Every Time should perk up back on turf. (6) Love Rhapsody has enough speed to hang around until the end.

7th race –  The Ghostzapper Stakes (G3) - (5) First Captain has been a consistent performer in graded stakes company and should start off his 5-year-old campaign with a win here. (4) O’Connor flopped in the Pegasus Turf but can rebound here. (3) Simplification has a class edge and will be dangerous here.  (1) Surly Furious should work out a good trip from the rail.

8th race – The Orchid Stakes (G3) - (3) Transient was a troubled third in a similar stakes and can  make amends for that setback here. (5) Amazing Grace can make some noise in her U.S. debut. (6) Personal Best won a similar stakes last time and should be a main threat. (2) Miss Yearwood had a useful comeback race and can move forward here.

9th race – (8) Collaborate comes off a solid win and can make it two in a row here. (2) My Prankster makes his first start since July and will be a big factor if there’s no rust from the layoff. (1) Dean Delivers was hurt by a wide trip; gets the rail here. (6) Steal Sunshine might bounce back with a better effort here.

10th race – (6) Marketsegmentation lost as the favorite at Tampa but can atone in this spot. (3) Jouza makes her U.S. debut and will be dangerous on her best try. (10) Arm Candy will be a factor if she can overcome the outside post. (9) Perseverancia makes her first start since November and appears ready for a top try.

11th race - (5) Breath Away won her debut on turf then lost by a nose on Tapeta. Should earn another victory here on turf. (9) Aunt Shirley might find a new home on turf. (1) Mrs. Astor may pose a big threat in the stretch. (3) Riding Pretty closed nicely in the final furlong and should be helped by an inside trip.

12th race – The Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2) - (5) Miracle turned in a strong effort when second in the Rachel Alexandra and deserves top billing here. (8) Dorth Vader won the Davona Dale at 46-1 odds and will be a handful if she can duplicate that effort. (4) Affirmative Lady should relish the distance. (6) Atomically had a useful 3-year-old debut and could take a step forward here.

13th race – (6) Steady On missed by a half-length length when second last time and merits top billing. (12) Dreams of Tomorrow seems to be rounding into career-best form. (7) Winfromwithin has sharp early speed and could be tough to catch. (9) Churchtown will welcome a return to turf. 14th race – The Florida Derby (G1) - (11) Forte is the favorite for the Kentucky Derby off four straight wins and should keep the streak going despite a bad post. (4) Mage had a rough trip when fourth in the Fountain of Youth and should be closer at the finish. (9) Cyclone Mischief has early speed and looks like the one to catch in the stretch. (1) Jungfrau turned in a dismal effort in the Withers but could return to top form here.