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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - April 13

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (1) Hob Alwatan has been working quickly for his debut with Ward and should win at first asking. (4) Saddle Up should be a main threat. (7) Sonofaship has been working steadily for Maker and figures to be a factor. (9) Mangione also debuts for Ward and merits consideration. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-9.

4th race – (7) Patient Capital ships in from New York off a string of solid efforts and looks best here. (3)  Page One may perk up back on dirt. (6) Bourbon Creed disappointed last time but can rebound here. (5) Judge Davis was bumped at the start and can turn in a better try here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7. Exactas: 3-7 over 5-6 and 5-6 over 3-7. Doubles: 3-5-6-7 with 1-3-9-11.

5th race – (1) Real Naughty debuts for Cox and seems primed for a big effort. (3) Sidekick moves into Shug’s barn and should be formidable here. (11) Certain could turn in a solid try while facing claimers. (9) Tim Tal was no worse than third in his last three tries and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-9-11.

8th race – (1) Verbal rallied belatedly for fourth in a stakes but should get the job done here. (3) Creed was ill-prepared for the start last time but figures to get a better trip here. (7) Strong Quality has enough speed to be a force here. (6) Point Me By has been working sharply for his 2023 debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7. Doubles: 1-3-6-7 with 1-2-9-10. 9th race – (2) Lord Donegal drops from a stakes into a claimer and looks best in this field. (1) Caballo Feliz had a rough trip at Oaklawn when second and shapes up as the one to fear. (10) Mr. Bouma will be on the front end and may hang around until the end. (9) Nordic Light has been on Tapeta but was second in his last race at Keeneland. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-9-10.