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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 13

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (9) Debt Paid (A) was a wide third in his debut. Adds blinkers and should make amends today. (6) Augustine Red adds Saez while adding blinkers and switching from turf to dirt in his first try against claimers. All the changes should make a difference. (3) Hey Joe Joe could contend while dropping out of a MSW race. (2) McAvoy is a firster who deserves attention. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-9.

4th race – (3) Elite Forces seeks a third straight win and looks best here. (5) Blue Light could wake up in this spot. (1) Frosted Departure exits a stakes and will be a threat from the rail. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5. Doubles: 1-3-5 with 3-7-10-11.

5th race – (3) Smart Uncle missed by a neck after a rough trip at Saratoga and gets the nod here. (7) Auden was squeezed at the break in his debut and deserves a second chance. (11) Equal Protection was a game third last time and cannot be ignored. (10) Conversing deserves consideration despite the layoff. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7-10-11.

7th race – (5) Highestdistinction seeks a fourth straight win and looks best here. (3) Hozier could perk up in an allowance race. (8) King Vega has speed and could be tough to catch. (7) Tiz the Bomb is worth a look here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place.  Exacta box: 3-5-7-8.

9th race – (3) Bold Act is a European shipper from Appleby who should enjoy the conditions. (2) Red Knight is a classy 9-year-old who looks like the main rival. (4) Therapist was hurt by a wide trip and should bounce back to top form here. (7) Channel Maker will be dangerous on his best try. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-7.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (9)Debt PaidA, 9/202 KEEWas a wide third in debut