Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 19

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (6) Wisconsin Gal gets a positive rider switch to Dettori and looks best here. (4) Lovely Words seems set for a strong effort in her debut. (2) Keyana was third last time and should be in the money again. (7) Moochie’s Girl could be helped by a surface switch. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

3rd race – (10) Caribbean Wind (A) missed by a nose in her April debut and seems ready for a nice effort off the layoff. (5) Hit That Review missed by a neck last time and looks like the main rival. (12) Sharp Swinger is an interesting firster. (2) Restore has some speed and could be hard to catch. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-10-12.

5th race – (10) Arrogancy has been second in 7 of 11 starts and seems poised to get a maiden win in a claimer. (9) Uncle William can also benefit from a drop into a claimer. (5) Shortstop may wake up in at this level. (1) Blue Line can save ground and hang around until the end.  Betting strategy: 10 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-5-9-10

7th race – The Perryville Stakes (G3) - (5) Book’em Danno rarely runs a poor one and gets a narrow nod on consistency in top flight company. (3) Knightsbridge owns two awesome wins but has been away since March. (10) Locked was a Grade 1 winner at 2 but returns in a tough spot. (4) Who Dey has been competitive enough in graded stakes to be a factor here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-5-10.

9th race – The Lexus Raven Run (G2) - (5) Emery was second in the Grade 1 Test and seems best here. (3) My Mane Squeeze comes off an impressive Grade 3 win at Churchill Downs and should be the one to fear. (6) V V’s Dream is consistent and belongs in the exotics. (10) Haulin Ice may bounce back after a poor try at Charles Town. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-10.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (10)Caribbean WindA, 4/243 KEEMissed by a nose in hr debut