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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 20

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (6) Ball Gown has nice early speed and seems dressed for success at this level and distance. (7) Mended We Stand should perk up in this field. (2) Shes a Secret steps up off a third and second and should contend here. (3) Mahomebred has speed and should be a threat. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6-7. Doubles: 2-3-6-7 with 5-8-11-12.

3rd race – (11) In the Numbers debuts for Brown in a claimer and looks best in this field.  (12) Yuletide Gallop is worth a look off the Sharp claim. (8) Tapitboy was a game second last time out and looms the main rival. (5) My Brother Charlie could be dangerous on his best try. Betting strategy: 11 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-8-11-12.

5th race – (6) In a Jam (C) dropped from 4-1 to 3-1 and has been no worse than third in four career starts. Should graduate today. (5) Muazarah may perk up on turf. (7) Smokey Smokey has speed and could hang on for a share. (11) Spirit’s Mischief should also be part of the early pace. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-7-11.

7th race – (10) Shootoutthelights comes off a frontrunning win and can make it two in a row in this spot. (2) Redifined had some trouble in a stakes and should be the key rival. (7) Laura’s Charm should be a factor in the final furlong. (1) Twirling Savi will get a boost from a ground-saving trip. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-7-10. Doubles: 1-2-7-10 with 2-3-8-10.

8th race – (8) Raging Sea was a strong second last time and should post a victory here. (3) Poblano exits a stakes and fits better here. (10) Sabra Tuff will welcome some class relief here. (2) Forever After All usually brings home a check. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-8-10.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (6)In a JamC, 9/105 KEESeems overdue for a win