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Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 22

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (6) Town Hall drops into a claimer and looks best off a bullet work. (7) T B Twelve Always was third in the slop in his debut and shapes up as the main rival. (1) Stone Harbor should be better suited on the main track. (4) Title Contender will be more competitive in a claimer. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-7. Doubles: 1-4-6-7 with 1-2-4-5.

2nd race – (5) Colette’s Joy moves back to the main track and should respond with a big effort. (4) Flashy Lass was third last time and should improve with blinkers. (2) Medaglia Forever has been second or third in three of her last four starts and belongs in the exotics. (1) Sassy Walker should get an ideal trip from the rail. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

5th race – (2) Carimba (A) was an easy winner last time and can make it two in a row here. (1) Top Gun Girl has speed and the rail and would be a main threat. (3) All That Magic won her last four starts against females and cannot be overlooked. (8) Querobin Dourada cuts back to a sprint and should be a threat in the stretch. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-8. Doubles: 1-2-3-8 with 1-2-3-4. Pick 3: 1-2-3-8 with 1-2-3-4 with 3-4-6-8.

6th race – (4) Leading Contender  was a strong second and Saratoga and should handle this field. (2) Grand Aspen was hurt by a wide trip last time on turf and has been working nicely on dirt. (1) Moreau will benefit from a turf to dirt move. (3) Redeemer should be a factor in the final furlong. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-2-3-4. Doubles: 1-2-3-4 with 3-4-6-8.

7th race – Grade 3 Rood and Riddle Dowager - (6) Romagna Mia was third in her U.S. debut and seems primed for a winning effort. (3) Vergara has plenty of speed and should be the one to catch. (8) Lovely Princess was second in her last three starts and may figure in the exotics. (4) Be Up should be part of the pace and could be a factor at the end. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-6-8.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (2)CarimbaA, 9/255 KEEWas an impressive winner last time