Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 5

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1st race – (1) Colonel Yorke (B) was bumped at the start and rallied wide to finish second. Should get the job done. (4) One True Shance seems ready for a strong debut. (9) J David put in a bullet work for this debut. (7) Gallo de Fuego should fare better in a claimer. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-7-9.

4th race – (4) Beuys returns to the allowance ranks and can notch a victory here. (7) Rebel Red raced wide and failed to fire in a stakes. Rebounds here. (6) Degree of Risk should be a late threat here. (2) Berrettini can make his presence felt. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

8th race – The First Lady Stakes Presented by UK Healthcare (G1) - (2) Tarawa is a Group 3 winner in Europe and could prove best here. (11) Whitebeam has speed but drew a tough post. (4) Gina Romantica won this race last year and cannot be overlooked. (8) Chili Flag could wake up here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place.  Exacta box: 2-4-8-11. Doubles: 2-4-8-11 with 1-4-5-9. Pick 3: 2-4-8-11 with 1-4-5-9 with 1-2-3-9.

9th race – The Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity (G1) - (1) Ferocious comes off a narrow loss in the Hopeful and will benefit from a rail trip. (9) Tenacious Leader should welcome a return to dirt. (5) East Avenue was an impressive debut winner. (4) Handsome Pants owns a win at the distance. Betting strategy: 1  to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-9. Doubles: 1-4-5-9 with 1-2-3-9.

10h race – The Coolmore Turf Mile (G1) - (9) Carl Spackler is in career-best form and should overcome the outside post. (3) More Than Looks may  benefit from a comeback race at Saratoga and be a main threat here. (2) Kikkuli is a European who should figure in the outcome. (1) Mountain Bear is another European with solid credentials. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-9.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (1)Colonel YorkeB, 9/121 KEEWas a troubled second last time