Keeneland Select

Keeneland Hotlist - October 6

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

3rd race – (3) Sonja Henie is an interesting first time starter who could land in the winner’s circle. (8) Golden Sunshine has late speed and looms the main threat. (7) Yellow has ability but is a mystery on turf. (12) Bembridge Ledge fits nicely here but has a tough post. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-7-8-12.

5th race – (2) Run Carson missed by a neck at Saratoga and makes amends here. (5) World Record could be a force if he handles turf. (12) Apollo Ten can bounce back in this spot. (1) Hedwig will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-12.

8th race – The Indian Summer Stakes Presented by Keeneland Select - (2) Chasing Liberty (A) was checked twice and rallied nine wide in a brutal trip but still finished second in a Kentucky Downs stakes. Due for better racing luck here. (11) Jet Sweep Joe has speed and may hang on for a win. (6) Pharoah’s Dynasty can rebound here after flopping at Kentucky Downs. (7) Governor Sam has won three in a row and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-6-7-11. Doubles: 2-6-7-11 with 1-2-6. Pick 3: 2-6-7-11 with 1-2-6 with 2-3-4-6..

9th race – The Juddmonte Spinster (G1)  - (1) Idiomatic won this stakes last year and is still in top form. Rates as the one to beat. (2) Candied was a game second in the Alabama and seems ready to face her elders. (6) Occult comes from a top barn and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6. Doubles: 1-2-6 with 2-3-4-6.

10h race – The Castle & Key Bourbon Stakes (G2) - (6) Cavallo Bay was third in his first US start and can take a step forward here. (3) Siesta Key won a stakes in his turf debut and will be a formidable rival. (4) Giocoso will be helped by a return to turf. (2) Warlander comes off a solid maiden win. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-6.

No.Letter/Last raceToday’s race  Comment     
  (2)Chasing LibertyA, 9/18 KEESecond despite a brutal trip in a stakes