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Keeneland Select

Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 5

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch                   B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (1) Sprint Out Pass was well bet in his debut but lost all chance at the start. Gets a second chance here. (4) City of Oscars had some trouble in his debut and will welcome added ground. (10) Warheart deserves a close look here. (6) Classic Sensation gets Irad and is worth some consideration. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-10. Doubles: 1-4-6-10 with 5-6-11-12.

3rd race – (6) Write Off Jerry was a good second at Saratoga and gets the nod here. (12) Nostalgic One has a strong late kick. (11) Ciro di Marzio could be a threat in his US debut for Ward. (5) Swore owns a win over the course and should be a factor. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-6-11-12.

5th race – (10) King Curlin has been competing in stakes and has a class edge here. (3) Call Me Harry could be tough to catch in this field. (7) Better Bet will be closing quickly at the end. (1) Quadra Island may appreciate a rail trip. Betting strategy: 10  to win, place.  Exacta box: 1-3-7-10.

7th race – (12) Pax Americana had some trouble in her turf debut and picks up Rosario here. (1) Jeweled City missed by a neck in her debut and is the one to fear. (4) Mad About Marie may perk up on turf. (3) Derry Girl showed improvement when moved to turf. Betting strategy: 12 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-12.

9th race – (8) Anatolian got some time off after a productive winter campaign and looks best here. (5) Sister Lou Ann has nice speed and could hang on until the end. (4) Papillo exits a graded stakes and cannot be ignored against these. (10) Bolivie gets a hot rider in Dettori. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-8-10.