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Keeneland Select

Parx Tip Sheet - September 23

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 73% of the time at this track.

RACE #1    $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:35 AM ET
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN3-15KohlersA Adorno
PLACE4-14Brysons OptionR Silvera
SHOW8-13Le VinE Ruiz
WILD CARD7-29Maycocks BayJ R Velazquez
 
ALTERNATE 19-26Checking BoxesM J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 26-18Twilight DancerF Pennington
    
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX
    
 
 RACE #2    $150,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:05 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 PRINCE LUCKY STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-29Notice of ActionA Hernandez
PLACE4-14Gamboling GhostJ Rendon
SHOW5-13Chilling HassleS Gonzalez
WILD CARD9-25Poker PartnerI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 15-12Lost and ConfusedR Silvera
ALTERNATE 25-18StandpointP Lopez
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,5,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,4,9/2,3,4,5,9/3,4,9
 
COMMENTS: NOTICE OF ACTION crushed the competition in his debut with stakes level early pace numbers. GAMBOLING GHOST improved in both of his races and a similar move forward today could be enough. CHILLING HASSLE showed plenty of early speed in his debut and should be more fit in career start number two. POKER PARTNER could be dangerous if he returns to his debut form.
 
    
 
 RACE #3    $150,000 STAKES
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:33 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $150,000 IMPLY STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-24Aoifes MagicW Vasquez
PLACE5-19SiraniF Pennington
SHOW6-12Jodys RubyA Adorno
WILD CARD4-15Dancing SpiritI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 110-18One Eyed JackieA Y Nunez
ALTERNATE 29-26Lucky OpportunityP Lopez
    
* EXACTA: 2,4,5,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,4,9/2,4,9/2,4,5,8,9
 
COMMENTS: AOIFES MAGIC ran consistently without any falloff in her debut. SIRANI has a good chance to be the pacesetter and go all the way. JODYS RUBY has been consistent in her first three races and won at this level last out. DANCING SPIRIT faced tougher last out coming home third in a 150k non graded stakes.
 
    
 
 RACE #4    $60,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:01 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #4 MASROUR
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-24MasrourD Haddock
PLACE5-13Fast Breakin CashM J Sanchez
SHOW15-16Traders LuckL D Rivera
WILD CARD6-112Johnny RittE Ruiz
 
ALTERNATE 16-11Mr. RoundtreeA Adorno
ALTERNATE 23-111Caramel ChipI Ortiz Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/6/12 BOX
    
 
 RACE #5    $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:31 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #3 RINGER CARD
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-13Ringer CardP Lopez
PLACE8-110FullmoonmagicF Pennington
SHOW3-11Calle AmadaJ R Velazquez
WILD CARD4-14GinucchaM J Sanchez
 
ALTERNATE 18-15Carol TJ Alvarado
ALTERNATE 28-113Peach TeaJ Laprida
    
* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
    
 
 RACE #6    $100,000 STAKES
 1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:01 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 PLUM PRETTY STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN9-59Morning MatchaP Lopez
PLACE12-16Gunfyre GalF Pennington
SHOW6-13Warriors RansomR Silvera
WILD CARD10-12LindalovesgoldA Adorno
 
ALTERNATE 19-27Social SuccessA Salgado
ALTERNATE 25-11One More KellyJ Rodriguez
    
* EXACTA: 9/2,3,6 KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,6,9/3,6,9/2,3,7,6,9
 
COMMENTS: MORNING MATCHA is going to flip from turf to dirt which is a 38 percent winner for trainer Robert Reid. GUNFYRE GAL increased her pace through the first half mile last out and has a bullet work since. WARRIORS RANSOM should make a lot of noise late with impressive closing speed at times. LINDALOVESGOLD ran some faster fractions last out and will be most dangerous if she gets the early lead.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $200,000 STAKES
 1 1/2 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:31 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $200,000 GREENWOOD CUP STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-56NextL Machado
PLACE3-13Ridin With BidenP Lopez
SHOW7-24CalibrateR Silvera
WILD CARD8-18Bear OakT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 112-17ForewarnedD Haddock
ALTERNATE 220-15My ImaginationJ Laprida
    
* EXACTA: 3,4,6,8/3,6
* TRIFECTA: 3,6/3,4,6/3,4,6,7,8
 
COMMENTS: NEXTs last race speed number was 4 points clear of the next closest horse. RIDIN WITH BIDEN could steal this one and go wire to wire with the right fractions. CALIBRATE tends to save his best for last and should not be too far off the pace with this group. BEAR OAK is the improving horse winning his last two and could benefit from extra distance today.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $250,000 STAKES
 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 TURF MONSTER STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-12Nobody ListensT Gaffalione
PLACE6-110Talented ManA Hernandez
SHOW9-54Roses for DebraI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD8-11BerenF Pennington
 
ALTERNATE 18-13Smooth BM J Sanchez
ALTERNATE 25-18All That MagicN Juarez
    
* EXACTA: 1,2,4,10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,4,10/1,2,3,4,10/2,4,10
 
COMMENTS: NOBODY LISTENS should be in contention right away and tends to make powerful mid race moves. TALENTED MAN is likely to be as good if not better in his second start after a layoff. ROSES FOR DEBRA has excellent turf breeding and ran slightly faster fractions in her last race. BEREN tied for the highest last race speed figure and has a blistering workout between races.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $100,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:32 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $100,000 ALPHABET SOUP HANDICAP
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-57Buy Land and SeeM J Sanchez
PLACE6-11Fore HarpF Pennington
SHOW7-211You Must ChillJ Rodriguez
WILD CARD10-12Market MavenR Silvera
 
ALTERNATE 110-13King KumbalayA Adorno
ALTERNATE 215-16Dee JayT Conner
    
* EXACTA: 7/1,2,11,3
* TRIFECTA: 7/1,2,11/1,2,3,6,11
 
COMMENTS: BUY LAND AND SEE is undefeated in three at Parx and has three wins with a second in four at the distance. FORE HARPs trainer Robert Reid wins at 36 percent going sprint to sprint to route. YOU MUST CHILL hit the board in eight of 10 at the distance. MARKET MAVEN improved his internal race numbers from start to finish in his most recent effort.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $300,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:04 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $300,000 PARX DIRT MILE STAKES
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-15GuniteT Gaffalione
PLACE9-24Nimitz ClassP Lopez
SHOW8-17Dr BF Pennington
WILD CARD7-22Dr ArditoI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 115-11Civil WarL M Ocasio
ALTERNATE 28-13MishT Conner
    
* EXACTA: 4,5/2,4,5,7
* TRIFECTA: 4,5/2,4,5,7/2,4,5,7
 
COMMENTS: GUNITE ran the highest last race speed figure and might add to it in the third start after a layoff. NIMITZ CLASS ran much better early pace numbers in his last and usually has strong late pace. DR B chased some swift fractions last out and probably will not see that here today. DR ARDITO is coming off his best race following a layoff. He could be better in round two off the bench but is also a bounce candidate.
 
    
 
 RACE #11    $400,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:35 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $400,000 GALLANT BOB STAKES GRADE III
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-110Gordian KnotM J Sanchez
PLACE10-11NinetyprcentmaddieP Lopez
SHOW5-29RyvitT Gaffalione
WILD CARD10-16Praetorian GuardD Haddock
 
ALTERNATE 19-25Nautical StarI Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 24-14Damons MoundJ Alvarado
    
* EXACTA: 1,6,9,10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,9,10/1,9,10/1,5,6,9,10
 
COMMENTS: GORDIAN KNOT is undefeated in a pair at the distance and neither were all that close. NINETYPRCENTMADDIE could be overlooked due to recent form but has won four of eight at Parx. RYVIT ran better pace numbers from gate to wire in his last and has a nice workout since. PRAETORIAN GUARD improved a lot both of his second starts off the sidelines like today.
 
    
 
 RACE #12    $1,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M COTILLION STAKES GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN2-13Pretty MischievousT Gaffalione
PLACE12-11Foggy NightF Geroux
SHOW5-12Ceiling CrusherE A Maldonado
WILD CARD6-15OccultI Ortiz Jr.
 
ALTERNATE 112-16Just KatherineJ Alvarado
ALTERNATE 230-19Majestic CreedM J Sanchez
    
* EXACTA: 3/1,2,5 KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/1,2,5,6,9/1,2,5
 
COMMENTS: PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS has been sidelined for a little bit but has won all three of her first up off the break races. FOGGY NIGHT finished first or second in nine of her 10 races which includes a Grade III win. CEILING CRUSHER could go wire to wire with early speed in a race filled with stalkers. OCCULT has been off since late July but has plenty of good works getting prepped for today.
 
    
 
 RACE #13    $1,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M PA DERBY GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-23Saudi CrownF Geroux
PLACE12-16Daydreaming BoyD Haddock
SHOW3-111ReincarnateJ J Hernandez
WILD CARD6-15ScotlandJ Alvarado
 
ALTERNATE 18-110Il Miracolo
ALTERNATE 25-14Magic TapT Gaffalione
    
* EXACTA: 3,5,6,11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,6,11/3,6,11/3,5,6,10,11
 
COMMENTS: SAUDI CROWN went above 100 on the speed gun in three of his four starts and has a few bullet works getting ready for another strong performance. DAYDREAMING BOY has run his best at Parx and when he is close to the pace. Both places are where he should be today. REINCARNATE could get to the front in a race filled with stalker. He might stay there with the right fractions. SCOTLAND is a consistent high end performer and could benefit from a cutback in distance.
 
    
 
 RACE #14    $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #9 WICKED SIGHT
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-19Wicked SightF Geroux
PLACE4-11Comedy ActR Silvera
SHOW8-17Our Uptown GirlA Y Nunez
WILD CARD8-15Cabra ChicaY C Ramos
 
ALTERNATE 110-112DecoupageJ Correa
ALTERNATE 29-213SheroL M Ocasio
    
* EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/9 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX