Skip to main content

Keeneland Select

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - November 4

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1    $250,000 STAKES
 1 5/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 TBRED AFTERCARE ALLIANCE STAKES GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-53SiskanyW Buick
PLACE5-16Kiss Today GoodbyeV Espinoza
SHOW8-14Win the DayA Fresu
WILD CARD5-25SalesmanF Prat
 
ALTERNATE 14-11Time for TroubleJ Castellano
ALTERNATE 26-12SerifosF Geroux
    
* EXACTA: 3,6/3,4,5,6
* TRIFECTA: 3/4,5,6/1,2,4,5,6
 
COMMENTS: SISKANYs lone race in the US was a dominating Grade II win in the Belmont God Cup with the top speed figure achieved by these horses. KISS TODAY GOODBYE could be the pacesetter with modest fractions in a field of closers. WIN THE DAYs race internals were better from start to finish in his last which usually points to another good effort. SALESMAN might really benefit from running the longest race of his career.
 
    
 
 RACE #2    $250,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $250,000 TWILIGHT DERBY GRADE II
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-17Seal TeamU Rispoli
PLACE3-16WebslingerJ Castellano
SHOW8-13ReincarnateL Saez
WILD CARD8-18AlmendaresA Fresu
 
ALTERNATE 15-112Silver KnottW Buick
ALTERNATE 28-110Maltese FalconJ J Hernandez
    
* EXACTA: 3,6,7,8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,6,7/3,6,7/3,6,7,8,12
 
COMMENTS: SEAL TEAM increased his output from start to finish in his last race which usually points to another solid outing. WEBSLINGER tends to run well fresh off the bench like today. A bullet work in his last says the trend continues. REINCARNATE will likely step forward in his second start off the sideline. He is most dangerous on the lead. ALMENDARES finished in the money in six of seven starts and has excellent turf breeding, tops in the field.
 
    
 
 RACE #3    $1,000,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BIG ASS FANS BC DIRT MILE GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN9-53Codys WishJ Alvarado
PLACE8-19National TreasureF Prat
SHOW6-17AlgiersJ Doyle
WILD CARD6-14ZozosF Geroux
 
ALTERNATE 15-15Charge ItJ R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 215-11Stage RaiderB J Hernandez Jr.
    
* EXACTA: 3,9/3,4,6,9
* TRIFECTA: 3,9/3,4,6,9/3,4,6,9
 
COMMENTS: CODYS WISH finished in the money in 15 of 15 races and is a neck and a lost footing at the start from winning 10 in a row. NATIONAL TREASURE has some of his best workouts prepping for this race. SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING tends to run his best after some rest and time in the barn, like today. ZOZOS could run one of his best races in the third start after a layoff as the third up tends to be his best in cycle.
 
    
 
 RACE #4    $2,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 3:10 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC FILLY & MARE TURF GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN8-19DidiaV Cheminaud
PLACE3-12Warm HeartR L Moore
SHOW5-26InspiralL Dettori
WILD CARD4-11In ItalianJ Rosario
 
ALTERNATE 18-18Fev RoverJ Castellano
ALTERNATE 220-13With The MoonlightW Buick
    
* EXACTA: 1,2,6,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,2,6,9/2,6,9/1,2,3,6,8,9
 
COMMENTS: There are 12 horses in this race and you can make a case for at least 10 of them. DIDIA has as good a chance as any and has three wins with a second by less than a length at the distance. WARM HEART won her last two, both of which were Group 1s in Europe. INSPIRAL raced in nine consecutive Group 1s in Europe, winning five. IN ITALIAN will try to go wire to wire and only has one other early burner to her outside, advantage IN ITALIAN.
 
    
 
 RACE #5    $1,000,000 STAKES
 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BC FILLY & MARE SPRINT GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-51Goodnight OliveI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE10-13EdaJ J Hernandez
SHOW5-27SocietyT Gaffalione
WILD CARD15-16Meikei YellK Ikezoe
 
ALTERNATE 112-12Clearly UnhingedU Rispoli
ALTERNATE 26-14MatareyaF Prat
    
* EXACTA: 1/3,6,7 KEY BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1,3/1,3,6,7/1,2,3,4,6,7
 
COMMENTS: GOODNIGHT OLIVE will be sharp again if her most recent workout is any indication. It was her fastest published 4 furlong work. EDA has some blazing fast works between races, should be out front and play catch me if you can. SOCIETY has three wins and a third at the tweener 7 furlong distance. She wins wire to wire and might struggle to get the lead here. MEIKEI YELL could pull off the upset in her second start after a layoff. The Japanese come to win.
 
    
 
 RACE #6    $2,000,000 STAKES
 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC MILE
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN6-111KelinaM Guyon
PLACE5-210SonglineK Tosaki
SHOW7-214Master of The SeasW Buick
WILD CARD4-16MawjO Murphy
 
ALTERNATE 120-112ExaultedJ J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 28-13Casa CreedL Saez
    
* EXACTA: 6,10,11,14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 10,11,14/10,11,14/3,6,10,11,12,14
 
COMMENTS: KELINA won a Group 1 in France in her last race and tends to run well in bunches. SONGLINE missed as the even money favorite in her last. She came back to win a Group 1 the last time she missed as the top choice. MASTER OF THE SEAS is older and the best male horse versus top notch females. That might be too much for the others to overcome. MAWJ made a high level mid move in her first US race, taking a Grade I at Keeneland. Expect more in the second US start.
 
    
 
 RACE #7    $2,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC DISTAFF GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-15Adare ManorJ J Hernandez
PLACE5-24IdiomaticF Geroux
SHOW5-16Search ResultsI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD6-18RandomizedJ L Ortiz
 
ALTERNATE 120-12A Mo ReayC Lemaire
ALTERNATE 24-19ClairiereJ Rosario
    
* EXACTA: 4,5/2,4,5,6,8,9
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,6,8/4,5/2,4,5,6,8,9
 
COMMENTS: ADARE MANOR is a second place away from being undefeated in six 2023 starts. IDIOMATIC is unbeaten in two races at the distance and should have plenty in the tank following a pair of easy wins. SEARCH RESULTS finished in the money in 15 of 16 races. The lone miss came in this race last year. Maybe she did not like Keeneland. RANDOMIZED tends to make an explosive mid move and then follows it with high level late pace.
 
    
 
 RACE #8    $4,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/2 MILES ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:50 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $4M BC TURF GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-18Up to the MarkI Ortiz Jr.
PLACE5-29MostahdafJ Crowley
SHOW3-15Auguste RodinR L Moore
WILD CARD12-113War Like GoddessJ Alvarado
 
ALTERNATE 14-111King of SteelL Dettori
ALTERNATE 215-11ShahryarC Demuro
    
* EXACTA: 5,8,9/5,8,9,11,13
* TRIFECTA: 5,8,9/5,8,9/1,5,8,9,11,13
 
COMMENTS: UP TO THE MARK would be very difficult to beat if he can run back two races to his Grade I Manhattan Stakes win. MOSTAHDAF won 10 of 16 races with a couple of seconds including four Group 1 wins in his last six starts. AUGUSTE RODIN has been well bet in all his races and should be rolling at the end. WAR LIKE GODDESS has nine high quality starts in her last 10 outings.
 
    
 
 RACE #9    $6,000,000 STAKES
 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $6M BC CLASSIC
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN4-18Ushba TesoroY Kawada
PLACE3-112Arabian KnightF Prat
SHOW20-17ClaptonT Gaffalione
WILD CARD12-12ZandonL Dettori
 
ALTERNATE 14-13White AbarrioI Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 212-113ProxyJ Rosario
    
* EXACTA: 2,6,8,12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,6,8,12/6,8,12/2,3,6,8,12,13
 
COMMENTS: USHBA TESORO is making his second start after a layoff and won both of his last second up efforts with ease. ARABIAN KNIGHT and SAUDI CROWN will both go forward in a race that is loaded with horses that like to be middle and back. If they do not burn each other, they could go one two all the way around. ZANDON finished in the money in 11 of 11 on a fast track and runs good races.
 
    
 
 RACE #10    $1,000,000 STAKES
 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $1M BC TURF SPRINT GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-13CaravelT Gaffalione
PLACE12-19Roses for DebraI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW6-112ArzakL Saez
WILD CARD9-25Live In The DreamS Kirrane
 
ALTERNATE 18-113One TimerE T Baird
ALTERNATE 26-17NobalsG Corrales
    
* EXACTA: 3,5,9,12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3,5,9,12/3,9,12/3,5,7,9,12,13
 
COMMENTS: CARAVEL ran better pace numbers from start to finish in his last race with some of his fastest fractions. ROSES FOR DEBRA has four wins and a third in five races on grass. The third was in a yielding course so maybe she did not like the footing. ARZAK won two in a row and blasted through the first half mile in his last, the Garde II Woodford. LIVE IN THE DREAM ran crazy fast fraction in his first US race. Cutting back in distance should help here.
 
    
 
 RACE #11    $2,000,000 STAKES
 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:00 PM ET
 
** BONUS COMMENTARY **  $2M BC SPRINT GRADE I
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN5-16The Chosen VronH I Berrios
PLACE5-12Dr. SchivelJ J Hernandez
SHOW9-58Elite PowerI Ortiz Jr.
WILD CARD4-19GuniteT Gaffalione
 
ALTERNATE 13-17Speed Boat BeachM E Smith
ALTERNATE 215-11NakatomiL Saez
    
* EXACTA: 2,6,8,9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2,6,8,9/2,6,8/1,2,6,7,8,9
 
COMMENTS: THE CHOSEN VRON is unbeaten in three at the distance and the two at Santa Anita were not close. DR. SCHIVEL has performed well at Santa Anita with four wins and a third in six efforts including his fastest fractions last out. ELITE POWER is making his first start since last August. He won his last four starts after some time in the barn. GUNITE should be close to the front all the way around the track and that is where he wants to be.
 
    
 
 RACE #12    $100,000 ALLOWANCE
 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET
 
BEST BET:  #7 GEM MINE
     
PICK ORDERM/LP#HORSE NAMEJOCKEY
     
WIN7-27Gem MineL Dettori
PLACE5-13Irish PatsyI Ortiz Jr.
SHOW6-18Real FireU Rispoli
WILD CARD6-115Shes BulletproofL Saez
 
ALTERNATE 18-110MadihaV Espinoza
ALTERNATE 215-111Lunar ImpactO Murphy
    
* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-15 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/8/15 BOX