By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

Hot List Key:
 A: A preferred horse to watch                         B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

1^st race [Md Sp Wt, 1 1/8 mi] – (1) Mount Craig got bumped and stumbled at the start of his last start which was in the same race as the second choice, had to steady later, and still managed to finish third.4) Moore’s Law made his 3-year-old debut at Saratoga last month and rallied from last in a field of seven to finish second for Chad Brown and had a smoother trip than the top choice. (3) Hero’s Medal set the pace in that same race, bumped with Mount Craig while fading in the stretch and was disqualified and placed sixth. (6) Braggadocious gets a trainer change to Mark Hennig whose barn is hot at Saratoga this summer.

2^nd race [NY, Alw 95000 N1X, 7F] – (2) Timely Conquest (A) was a rare debut winner for Mark Hennig whose barn has now won four races at the current meeting. (7) Big Bean Christine will return to NY-bred competition after winning a starter allowance with a career high speed figure. (1) Chasing Daylight had a second and a third in open company claimers in her most recent starts. (3) Big Hazel broke her maiden going a mile at Belmont Park in June with a stalking trip.

5^th race [OC 62k/N2X, 5 ½ F TURF] – (6) Breeze Easy (A) was taken up at the start, ended up in last, then was hard held, and still managed to finish third in a similar spot. (2) Bowl of Cherries (A) returned to the turf and ran second behind a classy Todd Pletcher runner that had won her two prior races. (3) Gal in a Rush will get plenty of pace to set up the closing move that she has used all three of her starts this year to finish second twice and then most recently to win a first-level allowance. (4) Lady Milagro does her best running on turf where she has 2 wins from 5 starts.

6^th race [OC 80k/C, 6F] – (2) Dot’s Dollar is the winner of 4 out of his last 7 starts including last month in a Belmont allowance racing from behind. (4) Today’s Flavor returns from a June layoff after setting the pace in a pair of graded stakes. He won a NY-bred stakes race and an open company allowance. (7) Rotknee had two very fast victories at Belmont and then was given a brief rest by Mike Maker. (6) Marsalis was second in a stakes race at Ellis Park in his only start of the year with clearly his best speed figure.

Best bets: Mount Craig (1^st); Breeze Easy (5^th). Best value: Timely Conquest (2^nd); Dot’s Dollar (6^th).