Keeneland Select
Santa Anita Tip Sheet - October 2
October 1, 2021
SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 02, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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7
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Keychain Girl
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J J Hernandez
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PLACE
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7-2
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6
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Fluent
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F Prat
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SHOW
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12-1
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8
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So Softly
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T Baze
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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9
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Granola Girl
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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14
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Travel Smart
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A Cedillo
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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1
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Booze Runner
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K Frey
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* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 6/8/9 BOX
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RACE #2 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #3 ARTHUR SPOONER
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-5
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3
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Arthur Spooner
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G Franco
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PLACE
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2-1
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4
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Velvet Ghost
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D A Herrera
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SHOW
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5-1
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5
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Tex Hanley
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J J Hernandez
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WILD CARD
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7-2
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1
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Floyd Knowles
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E A Ellingwood
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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2
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Chris Fix
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A Cedillo
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* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
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RACE #3 $200,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:28 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 CITY OF HOPE MILE STAKES G2
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-5
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2
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Mo Forza
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F Prat
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PLACE
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8-5
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5
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Smooth Like Strait
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U Rispoli
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SHOW
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3-1
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3
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Hit the Road
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F Geroux
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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4
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Order and Law
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A Cedillo
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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1
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Red Storm Risen
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J Bravo
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* EXACTA: 2,3,5 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3,5 Box
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COMMENTS: MO FORZA is a nose away from winning eight of his last nine starts. SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT has finished in the money seven of eight at Santa Anita and seven of eight at the distance. HIT THE ROAD won four of five at Santa Anita, all at 1 mile. ORDER AND LAW looks a little better than RED STORM RISEN on paper.
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RACE #4 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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1
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Big Novel
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J Bravo
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PLACE
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4-1
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2
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Bold Choice
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V Espinoza
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SHOW
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5-1
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7
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Kiss My Kat
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A Cedillo
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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4
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Madiha
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T Baze
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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5
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Warrens Show Bizz
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J J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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3
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Cause Shes a Lady
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D Van Dyke
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* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
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RACE #5 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:34 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 COMMANDER
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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2
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Commander
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F Prat
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PLACE
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4-1
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1
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Whooping Jay
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M Gutierrez
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SHOW
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8-1
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3
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Fratelli
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A Cedillo
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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8
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Coulthard
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U Rispoli
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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7
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Crew Dragon
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J Bravo
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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6
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Perfectionistic
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J R Velazquez
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* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX
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RACE #6 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:04 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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1
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Taishan
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T J Pereira
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PLACE
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6-5
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3
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Eight Rings
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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5-1
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2
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Proverb
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F Prat
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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5
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Parsimony
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M Gutierrez
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-2
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4
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Classier
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M E Smith
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
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RACE #7 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:34 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 U. S. DANGER
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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2
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U. S. Danger
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K Frey
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PLACE
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8-1
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9
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Burnin Turf
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T Baze
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SHOW
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4-1
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13
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First Premio
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Lincoln Hawk
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T J Pereira
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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7
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Subconscious
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J J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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8
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Parnelli
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D Van Dyke
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* EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-13 BOX, 13-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/9/13 BOX, 1/9/13 BOX
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RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:06 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 SANTA ANITA SPRINT CHAMPIONSHIP STAKES G2
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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1
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Dr. Schivel
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F Prat
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PLACE
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5-2
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4
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C Z Rocket
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F Geroux
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SHOW
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7-2
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5
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Flagstaff
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J Bravo
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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3
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Colt Fiction
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G Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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6
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Collusion Illusion
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J J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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2
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Vertical Threat
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A Cedillo
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* EXACTA: 1,3,4,5 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,4,5/1,3,4,5/1,3,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: DR. SCHIVEL has won four in a row and is three for three at the distance. CZ ROCKET ran the top, last race speed figure and could be better in his third start after a layoff. FLAGSTAFF has won four of nine at Santa Anita, just three of 12 elsewhere. COLT FICTION has never finished out of the money at the distance or at Santa Anita.
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RACE #9 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 7:38 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 RODEO DRIVE STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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8
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Luck
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F Prat
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PLACE
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4-1
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1
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Dogtag
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J Bravo
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SHOW
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5-2
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4
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Going to Vegas
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U Rispoli
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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3
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Neige Blanche
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J J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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7
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Magic Attitude
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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2
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Fast Jet Court
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D Van Dyke
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* EXACTA: 1,3,4,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,4,8/1,3,4,8/1,3,4,7,8
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COMMENTS: LUCKs record on all-weather and his performance on a firm turf course suggest she will be tough to beat. DOGTAG has a quartet of seconds in her last four races and is just a head away from winning both at the distance. GOING TO VEGAS has won three of her last four races, including the top, last race speed figure. NEIGE BLANCHE could have the strongest late kick, worry is that the race might not be long enough.
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RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 AWESOME AGAIN STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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7
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Tripoli
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T J Pereira
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PLACE
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4-1
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1
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Tizamagician
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F Prat
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SHOW
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5-2
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5
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Medina Spirit
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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8
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Idol
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J Bravo
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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3
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Express Train
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J J Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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4
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Stilleto Boy
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K J Desormeaux
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* EXACTA: 1,5,7,8 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,7/1,5,7,8/1,3,5,7,8
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COMMENTS: TRIPOLI is a 1/2 length from winning four in a row and just ran his best race. TIZAMAGICIAN could not hold on versus TRIPOLI in his last start but could benefit by shortening by a quarter mile. MEDINA SPIRIT has a tough time beating a weaker field in his last. His workouts say he will be ready but does not pass many, doubtful he gets the lead here. IDOL has not missed the board in six starts, including three at Santa Anita. A bullet 6 furlong workout on September 26th was faster than his fractions in his last start.
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RACE #11 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:42 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 JOHN HENRY TURF CHAMPIONSHIP STAKES G2
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-1
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7
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Master Piece
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D Van Dyke
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PLACE
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9-2
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6
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Acclimate
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R Gonzalez
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SHOW
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5-2
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4
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United
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F Prat
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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1
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Award Winner
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K Frey
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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3
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Neptunes Storm
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F Geroux
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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2
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Camino Del Paraiso
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A Cedillo
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* EXACTA: 1,4,6,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 4,6,7/1,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7
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COMMENTS: MASTER PIECE looks like he has figured it out in his last race and should have the most punch late. ACCLIMATE has three seconds in three races at the distance, will be close to the lead all the way around the track. UNITED will be the favorite and has finished in the money five of six at the distance and eight of 11 at Santa Anita. AWARD WINNER has two wins and two seconds in four at Santa Anita. The two wins were at todays distance.
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