Keeneland Select
Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 21
August 20, 2021
SARATOGA TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 21, 2021
|
||||
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
|
||||
RACE #1 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
6-1
|
2
|
Fan the Fire
|
T Gaffalione
|
PLACE
|
5/2
|
6
|
Triple Elvis
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
SHOW
|
8-1
|
7
|
Bourbon Heist
|
J Castellano
|
WILD CARD
|
3-1
|
1
|
Napa Valley
|
J R Velazquez
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
5
|
Judge Davis
|
J L Ortiz
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
4
|
Union Lights
|
M Franco
|
* EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
|
||||
RACE #2 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
5
|
Dial Me Up
|
J L Ortiz
|
PLACE
|
5-1
|
4
|
Portilla
|
L Saez
|
SHOW
|
12-1
|
1
|
Halo City
|
R Santana Jr.
|
WILD CARD
|
7/5
|
2
|
Zainalarab
|
J Castellano
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
5/2
|
3
|
Primacy
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
|
||||
RACE #3 $120,000 STAKES
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $120,000 SMART N FANCY STAKES
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
6/5
|
2
|
Lead Guitar
|
L Saez
|
PLACE
|
1-1
|
1
|
Robin Sparkles
|
J L Ortiz
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
5
|
Pacific Gale
|
J R Velazquez
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
4
|
Piedi Bianchi
|
T Gaffalione
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
30-1
|
3
|
Hydra
|
M Franco
|
* EXACTA: 2/1
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1,2/1,2/3,4,5
|
||||
COMMENTS: LEAD GUITAR gets the slight nod over the even money favorite ROBIN SPARKLES. Either way, they should run one-two here as they are at least a cut above the rest. PACIFIC GALE drops in class and tends to run well fresh off the bench, like today. PIEDI BIANCHI is superior to HYDRA.
|
||||
RACE #4 $42,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:47 PM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #3 TELLAPERFECTTALE
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
3
|
Tellaperfecttale
|
T Gaffalione
|
PLACE
|
9/2
|
2
|
Marias Gift
|
M Franco
|
SHOW
|
10-1
|
10
|
Prairie Tales
|
D Cohen
|
WILD CARD
|
5-1
|
7
|
Know It All Red
|
E Cancel
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
15-1
|
9
|
Undetectable
|
L A Rodriguez Castro
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
6
|
Sassy Belle
|
H K Harkie
|
* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 2/7/10 BOX
|
||||
RACE #5 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #4 GHOST GIANT
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
4
|
Ghost Giant
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
PLACE
|
5/2
|
1
|
Regal Speaker
|
T Gaffalione
|
SHOW
|
8-1
|
2
|
Quiet Out East
|
D Davis
|
WILD CARD
|
7/2
|
8
|
Good Old Boy
|
D Cohen
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
8-1
|
9
|
Six Percent
|
J L Ortiz
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
7
|
Chic N Wilbur
|
L E Perez
|
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
|
||||
RACE #6 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
6-1
|
11
|
Fair Regis
|
Rider TBA
|
PLACE
|
4-1
|
10
|
Beautiful Karen
|
Rider TBA
|
SHOW
|
8/5
|
8
|
Kokopelli
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
WILD CARD
|
5/2
|
4
|
Silky Blue
|
M Franco
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
7/5
|
1
|
Betsy Blue
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
9
|
Saratoga Love
|
T Gaffalione
|
* EXACTA: 11-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 8/10/11 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX
|
||||
RACE #7 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:29 PM ET |
||||
BEST BET: #6 SEAL BEACH
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
4-1
|
6
|
Seal Beach
|
T Gaffalione
|
PLACE
|
5/2
|
2
|
My Prankster
|
L Saez
|
SHOW
|
20-1
|
1
|
Southern Sense
|
J Alvarado
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
8
|
Reserve Currency
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
3-1
|
9
|
Cogburn
|
R Santana Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
4
|
Skate to Heaven
|
D Cohen
|
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
|
||||
RACE #8 $50,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
9/5
|
4
|
Identity Politics
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
1
|
Restoring Hope
|
J Lezcano
|
SHOW
|
8-1
|
7
|
Striking Speed
|
R Santana Jr.
|
WILD CARD
|
7/2
|
2
|
Golani Brigade
|
J Castellano
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
9
|
Therisastormbrewin
|
M Franco
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
30-1
|
8
|
American Rule
|
O Hernandez Moreno
|
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
|
||||
RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:39 PM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 LAKE PLACID STAKES G2
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
6/5
|
2
|
Technical Analysis
|
J L Ortiz
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
3
|
Ego Trip
|
T Gaffalione
|
SHOW
|
7/2
|
4
|
Runaway Rumour
|
J Lezcano
|
WILD CARD
|
3-1
|
6
|
Spanish Loveaffair
|
R Santana Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
5
|
Lovestruck
|
J R Velazquez
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
15-1
|
1
|
Illiogami
|
M Franco
|
* EXACTA: 2/3,4,5,6
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 2/3,4/3,4,5,6
|
||||
COMMENTS: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS has won three of five starts, including the top, last race speed figure. EGO TRIP is an English horse that could find softer footing to her liking. RUNAWAY RUMOR has three wins in four races, fourth by just 2 3/4 in her last versus top choice. SPANISH LOVEAFFAIR or LOVESTRUCK, take your pick as both are trending lower and are evenly matched.
|
||||
RACE #10 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:13 PM ET |
||||
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600,000 ALABAMA STAKES G1
|
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
7/2
|
4
|
Maracuja
|
R Santana Jr.
|
PLACE
|
1-1
|
6
|
Malathaat
|
J R Velazquez
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
7
|
Army Wife
|
T Gaffalione
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
3
|
Clairiere
|
I Ortiz Jr.
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
1
|
Crazy Beautiful
|
J L Ortiz
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
15-1
|
5
|
Played Hard
|
L Saez
|
* EXACTA: 4,6/3,4,6,7
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 4,6/3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,7
|
||||
COMMENTS: MARACUJA just ran past MALATHAAT by a head at 1 1/8 miles, should the extra 1/8-mile help. ARMY WIFE has won three of her last four and will be coming like a turbo tank at the end. CLAIRIERE has not run a bad race, just needs to figure out how to win.
|
||||
RACE #11 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:47 PM ET |
||||
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
WIN
|
3/5
|
12
|
Perfect Grace
|
T Gaffalione
|
PLACE
|
5/2
|
4
|
Split Then Double
|
J L Ortiz
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
1
|
Gauff
|
T Gaffalione
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
7
|
Miss Bonnie T
|
D Davis
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
10
|
Lets Go Native
|
M Franco
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
30-1
|
2
|
Good Talk
|
J Castellano
|
* EXACTA: 12-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
|
||||
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/12 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
|
Get more picks for additional tracks at