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Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 28
August 27, 2021|
SARATOGA TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 28, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:35 AM ET |
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BEST BET: #10 SWEEPING GIANT
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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10
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Sweeping Giant
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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5-1
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7
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Doctor Davis
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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5-1
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2
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Chileno
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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1
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Royal Spirit
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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5/2
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11
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Pioneer of Medina
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Rider TBA
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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8
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Speaking Scout
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 10-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/7/10 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
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RACE #2 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:08 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-1
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4
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Hoist the Gold
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M Franco
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PLACE
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9/5
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5
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Jack Christopher
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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7/2
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2
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Dr. Perry
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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3-1
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3
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Be Better
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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1
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Back to Normal
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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6
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Illustrious
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J R Velazquez
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* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
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RACE #3 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:44 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #5 TRINNI LUCK
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8/5
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5
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Trinni Luck
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M Franco
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PLACE
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7/5
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8
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Love And Thunder
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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8-1
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7
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Kitten by the Sea
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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1A
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Sparkling Sky
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R Santana Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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5/2
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3
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Golden Plume
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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2
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Vividly
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
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RACE #4 $400,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:17 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $400K BALLSTON SPA STAKES G3
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8/5
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3
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Viadera
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J Rosario
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PLACE
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8-1
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1
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High Opinion
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L Saez
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SHOW
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2-1
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6
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Kalifornia Queen
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F Prat
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WILD CARD
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7/2
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2
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Tamahere
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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5
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Platinum Paynter
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J Lezcano
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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4
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New York Girl
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J R Velazquez
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,6 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,3,6/1,2,3,6/1,2,3,5,6
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COMMENTS: VIADERA has won six of 14 lifetime and may have won her last if she was not blocked. HIGH OPINION has the top pedigree for the distance/surface. KALIFORNIA QUEENs jockey/trainer combo of Flavien Prat and Chad Brown have won four of 10 together. TAMAHERE has finished in the money eight if 10 on turf.
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RACE #5 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:54 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #4 WHITTINGTON PARK
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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4
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Whittington Park
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M Franco
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PLACE
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5-1
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8
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Wicked Bobby
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J Alvarado
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SHOW
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20-1
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7
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Eridromos
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B Hernandez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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1
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Koosman
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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3-1
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6
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Bradys Legacy
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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9
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Bointheback
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E Cancel
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* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
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RACE #6 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:26 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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9
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Shiraz
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L Saez
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PLACE
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5/2
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11
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Big Package
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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5-1
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5
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Stage Left
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J R Velazquez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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10
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Christopher
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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6
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Charmed
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R Santana Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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8
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Mamba On Three
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J Alvarado
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* EXACTA: 9-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/9/11 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
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RACE #7 $500,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:02 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K KETEL ONE BALLERINA HANDICAP G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3/5
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1
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Gamine
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J R Velazquez
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PLACE
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4-1
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7
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Ce Ce
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V Espinoza
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SHOW
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8-1
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6
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Estilo Talentoso
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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9/2
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5
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Sconsin
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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3
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Casual
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R Santana Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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2
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Lake Avenue
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J Alvarado
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* EXACTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3,6/2,3,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
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COMMENTS: GAMINE is the one to catch and beat on the high win rate rail. CE CE has won two of three at the distance. ESTILO TALENTOSO has 15 quality starts in 15 races. SCONSIN finished 1 1/2 lengths behine GAMINE the last time jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. rode.
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RACE #8 $600,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:37 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K FOREGO STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5/2
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7
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Yaupon
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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7/2
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4
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Mind Control
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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4-1
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2
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Whitmore
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Mischevious Alex
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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9/2
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3
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Lexitonian
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J Lezcano
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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8
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Firenze Fire
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 1,2,4,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,4,7/1,2,4,7/1,2,3,4,7
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COMMENTS: YAUPON has the best early fractions in the field at a distance/surface where speed wins. MIND CONTROL has won five of 13 at the distance and on the board 14 of 18 on a fast track. WHITMORE should step it up in his second start after a layoff. MISCHEVIOUS ALEX missed as the chalk in his last against many of these. Trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr. win at 31% with beaten favorites.
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RACE #9 $500,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K ALLEN JERKENS MEMORIAL STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8/5
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6
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Life Is Good
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M E Smith
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PLACE
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1-1
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2
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Jackies Warrior
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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15-1
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5
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Judge N Jury
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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Drain the Clock
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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4
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Following Sea
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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3
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Newbomb
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J L Ortiz
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* EXACTA: 2,6/1,2,4,5,6
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* TRIFECTA: 2,6/2,5,6/1,2,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: LIFE IS GOOD made easy work of the competition before getting injured. JACKIES WARRIOR will try to take them wire to wire. JUDGE N JURY a price that could benefit if the pace it too hot. DRAIN THE CLOCK rides the high win rate rail.
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RACE #10 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:47 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K PERSONAL ENSIGN STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6/5
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6
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Letruska
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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10-1
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5
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Royal Flag
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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20-1
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1
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Dunbar Road
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F Prat
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WILD CARD
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7/2
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4
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Swiss Skydiver
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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7
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Miss Marissa
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D Centeno
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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8
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Harveys Lil Goil
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 5,6/1,4,5,6,7
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* TRIFECTA: 5,6/1,4,5,6/1,4,5,6,7
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COMMENTS: LETRUSKA has won four of her five 2021 starts with a close second. ROYAL FLAG has two wins and a second in three at the distance. DUNBAR ROAD has reached the highest speed figure at the distance, meaning she has the most upside. SWISS SKYDIVER needs to recover her form. If she does, look out.
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RACE #11 $750,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:25 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K SWORD DANCER STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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7
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Cross Border
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L Saez
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PLACE
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9/2
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6
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Japan
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R L Moore
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SHOW
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3-1
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2
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Gufo
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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2-1
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1
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Tribhuvan
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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3
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Rockemperor
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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4
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Channel Maker
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M Franco
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* EXACTA: 1,2,6,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,6,7/1,2,6,7/1,2,3,6,7
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COMMENTS: CROSS BORDER last race speed figure was above par for this spot. JAPAN has faced some of Europes top horses and has the top pedigree for the distance/surface. Jockey Joel Rosario is a nose from winning three of four on GUFO. TRIBHUVAN is versatile and can win from the front, middle or back.
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RACE #12 $1,250,000 STAKES
1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:12 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1.25M TRAVERS STAKES G1
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4/5
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2
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Essential Quality
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L Saez
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PLACE
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6-1
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4
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Dynamic One
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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9/2
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1
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Midnight Bourbon
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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3
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Keepmeinmind
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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5
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Miles D
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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6
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Masqueparade
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M Mena
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* EXACTA: 1,2,3,4 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4,5
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COMMENTS: ESSENTIAL QUALITY has the top pedigree and resume. DYNAMIC ONE ran the top, last race speed figure in a runaway win. MIDNIGHT BOURBON always seems close in the big races, just not a winner. KEEPMEINMIND hopes they go out too fast. If they do, he will run by past them like their standing still.
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RACE #13 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:51 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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12
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Sister Luck
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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4-1
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14
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Bella Principessa
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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15-1
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13
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Loves Misery
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D Cohen
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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10
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Home for Christmas
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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9/5
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1
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Dancing Firefly
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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50-1
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3
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Decreed
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J L Samuel
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* EXACTA: 12-14 BOX, 14-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 12/13/14 BOX, 10/13/14 BOX
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