Keeneland Select
Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 6
August 5, 2022
SARATOGA TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 06, 2022
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $105,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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2
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Alexis Zorba
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J R Velazquez
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PLACE
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5-2
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5
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Red Route One
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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2-1
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7
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Battle of Normandy
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K Carmouche
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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4
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Mullingar
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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6
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Moonflyer
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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1
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Track Mate
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J A Gomez
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* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX
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RACE #2 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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8
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Tekila
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J R Velazquez
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PLACE
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5-2
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6
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Afilada
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L Saez
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SHOW
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3-1
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5
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Mostly Harmless
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J A Gomez
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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1
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School of Thought
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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3
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Madame Rose
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J L Samuel
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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7
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Toosweettobesour
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D Davis
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* EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
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RACE #3 $100,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 KHALI MAGIC |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9-5
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2
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Khali Magic
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M Franco
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PLACE
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4-1
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7
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Mosienko
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L Saez
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SHOW
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12-1
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3
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Quality Stones
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O Hernandez Moreno
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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8
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Beautiful Karen
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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4
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Miss Alacrity
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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6
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Impazible Donna
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J A Gomez
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* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
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RACE #4 $120,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-5
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2
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Good Governance
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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6-1
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8
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Turn of Events
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J L Ortiz
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SHOW
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2-1
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1
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Eyes On Target
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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4
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Founder
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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4-1
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11
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Swiftsure
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 2
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2-1
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10
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Two Thirty Five
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Rider TBA
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* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
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RACE #5 $135,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:50 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $135,000 LURE STAKES |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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8
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Somelikeithotbrown
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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2-1
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1
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Public Sector
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F Prat
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SHOW
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6-1
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4
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Duke of Hazzard
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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7
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Sifting Sands
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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2
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Safe Conduct
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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5
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Dynadrive
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E Cancel
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* EXACTA: 1,8/1,2,4,7,8
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* TRIFECTA: 1,4,8/1,4,8/1,2,4,7,8
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COMMENTS: SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN switches to jockey Irad Ortiz and should be near the front all the way around the track. PUBLIC SECTOR was much better in the first half of his last race with better pace numbers and fractions. DUKE OF HAZZARD has improved in each of his three starts in the US after coming from England. SIFTING SANDS won his last race. Trainer Chad Brown follows a win with another at 28 percent. |
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RACE #6 $105,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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1A
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Point Proven
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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7-2
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3
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Perform
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K Carmouche
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SHOW
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5-2
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2
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Disarm
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T Gaffalione
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WILD CARD
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15-1
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8
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Olazabal
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 1
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2-1
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1
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Crupi
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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4
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Arthurs Ride
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
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RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES 1 1/2 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:58 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 GLENS FALSS STAKES GRADE II |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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2
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Virginia Joy
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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1-2
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6
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War Like Goddess
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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50-1
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7
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Treasure Tails
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M Rowland
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WILD CARD
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30-1
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5
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Key Biscayne
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J Alvarado
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ALTERNATE 1
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20-1
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4
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Flanigans Cove
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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1
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Temple City Terror
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T Gaffalione
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* EXACTA: 2,6/2,4,5,6,7
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* TRIFECTA: 2,6/2,6/1,4,5,7
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COMMENTS: Going to go for the upset with VIRGINIA JOY. She has a pair of seconds at the distance, the last by a nose. WAR LIKE GODDESS is two for two at Saratoga winning this race with ease last year. She has seven wins in nine races. The pair of nonwinning efforts were in first starts off the bench, like today. TREASURE TAILS looks overmatched on paper, but this is her third race after a layoff and upped her speed figure in four straight. KEY BISCAYNE found her groove winning her last two races and just ran away from the field at the end of a Grade III win in her last. |
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RACE #8 $115,000 ALLOWANCE 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #8 SAINT TAPIT |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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8-5
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8
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Saint Tapit
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L Saez
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PLACE
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15-1
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1
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Perfect Munnings
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D Davis
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SHOW
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10-1
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3
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Scilly Cay
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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15-1
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2
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Anejo
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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9-2
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7
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Money Supply
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F Prat
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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4
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Prince of Pharoahs
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K Carmouche
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* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
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RACE #9 $500,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:07 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500,000 TEST STAKES GRADE I |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-5
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1
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Matareya
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F Prat
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PLACE
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12-1
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4
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Wish You Well
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T Gaffalione
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SHOW
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10-1
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5
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November Rein
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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6
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Hot Peppers
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 1
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8-1
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3
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Elm Drive
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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7
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Chi Town Lady
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 1,4,5,6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1,4,5/1,4,5,6/1,3,4,5,6
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COMMENTS: Usually, we like to play away from a huge favorite like MATAREYA, but it really looks like she should be able to control the race at her will. WISH YOU WELL just needs to run back to her debut win. A clean start is all she needs, and she has been loving Saratoga during her workouts. NOVEMBER REIN likes a fast track winning three of five with a second and third. She usually breaks sharply and should challenge for the lead right away. HOT PEPPERS showed better early pace in the first quarter and half mile of her last outing. A couple of maintenance workouts since suggest she will be fit again. |
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RACE #10 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:43 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1 M WHITNEY STAKES GRADE I |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-5
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6
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Life Is Good
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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9-2
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2
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Hot Rod Charlie
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F Prat
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SHOW
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5-1
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1
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Americanrevolution
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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5
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Happy Saver
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 1
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2-1
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4
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Olympiad
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J Alvarado
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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3
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Zoomer
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 2,6/1,2,4,6
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* TRIFECTA: 6/1,2,4/1,2,4,5
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COMMENTS: LIFE IS GOOD is a neck away from being undefeated in eight races in the United States. He will be the heavy favorite and if he gets an easy lead, he could make easy work of this race. HOT ROD CHARLIE topped LIFE IS GOOD in the Dubai World Cup, but that track is a tough heavy and does not have the same speed bias as Saratoga. AMERICANREVOLUTION ran much better in his last start and looks to build on that in his third start after a layoff. OLYMPIAD is getting better and better and better. His recent workouts say another stellar effort is coming today. |
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RACE #11 $1,000,000 STAKES 1 3/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1 M SARATOGA DERBY |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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7-2
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4
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Nations Pride
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W T Buick
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PLACE
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9-2
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10
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Stone Age
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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5-2
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6
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Annapolis
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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8
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Sy Dog
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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7
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Royal Patronage
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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8-1
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9
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Classic Causeway
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J R Leparoux
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* EXACTA: 4,6,8,10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4,6,10/4,6,8,10/4,6,7,8,10
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COMMENTS: It says a ton that trainer Charlie Appleby is bringing jockey William Buick overseas for one mount on Saturday and one on Sunday. He plans on winning both, starting with NATIONS PRIDE today. STONE AGE made a major move in the stretch last out. He likes the distance with two wins, a second and third in four tries. ANNAPOLIS has some of the best pedigree marks in this field. They will be put to the test here versus the toughest group he has seen. SY DOG might get overlooked, but with just a little bit of luck could be undefeated in five career starts. |
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RACE #12 $88,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:53 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 YOUR MISSION |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5-2
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2
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Your Mission
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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8-1
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8
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Dreampoint
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J Rosario
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SHOW
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7-2
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9
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Biondi
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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3
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Curlins Wisdom
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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7
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Walk Em Down
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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1A
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Uragano
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J A Gomez
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* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX
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