Buy TicketsKeeneland Select
Saratoga Tip Sheet - August 7
August 6, 2021|
SARATOGA TIPS - SATURDAY, AUGUST 07, 2021
|
||||
|
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
|
||||
|
RACE #1 $100,000 MAIDEN
1 1/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET |
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
9
|
K Club
|
Rider TBA
|
|
PLACE
|
8-1
|
10
|
Slim Slow Slider
|
J Rosario
|
|
SHOW
|
5-1
|
8
|
Speak Unity
|
F Prat
|
|
WILD CARD
|
9/2
|
2
|
Drippin Gold
|
J Lezcano
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
5/2
|
4
|
Under the Gun
|
R Santana Jr
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
7
|
Steal the Cash
|
L Saez
|
|
* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #2 $50,000 CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET |
||||
|
BEST BET: #4 HEIRLOOM KITTEN
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
4-1
|
4
|
Heirloom Kitten
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
PLACE
|
9/2
|
3
|
Zoomber
|
J Rosario
|
|
SHOW
|
10-1
|
5
|
Fort Peck
|
D Cohen
|
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
8
|
Grumps Little Tots
|
M Franco
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
5-1
|
1
|
Journeyman
|
L Saez
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
3-1
|
2
|
American Tattoo
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #3 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:44 PM ET |
||||
|
BEST BET: #2 TUGGLE
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
6/5
|
2
|
Tuggle
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
1
|
Life Changer
|
J Rosario
|
|
SHOW
|
3-1
|
3
|
Newbomb
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
WILD CARD
|
9/2
|
4
|
Stage Left
|
JR Velazquez
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
4-1
|
5
|
Dream Bigger
|
L Saez
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
20-1
|
6
|
Ampersand
|
J Lezcano
|
|
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #4 $85,000 MAIDEN
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET |
||||
|
BEST BET: #5 RUSE
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
5
|
Ruse
|
D Davis
|
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
7
|
Dreampoint
|
J Lezcano
|
|
SHOW
|
12-1
|
8
|
Big Castle
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
6
|
Athenry
|
M Franco
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
1/2
|
4
|
Gold Panda
|
Rider TBA
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
10-1
|
10
|
Hot Doctor
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #5 $100,000 MAIDEN
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:52 PM ET |
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
2
|
Brigadier General
|
JR Velazquez
|
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
1
|
Seal Beach
|
L Saez
|
|
SHOW
|
15-1
|
4
|
Martininmoonshine
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
WILD CARD
|
9/2
|
3
|
Keepcalmcarryon
|
J Rosario
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
5-1
|
7
|
Stellar Tap
|
R Santana Jr
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
10-1
|
9
|
Immokalee
|
J Alvarado
|
|
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #6 $120,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET |
||||
|
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $120K LURE STAKES
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
3
|
Value Proposition
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
PLACE
|
3-1
|
5
|
Flavius
|
F Prat
|
|
SHOW
|
9/2
|
2
|
Delaware
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
WILD CARD
|
15-1
|
6
|
Midnight Tea Time
|
L Saez
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
9
|
South Bend
|
J Rosario
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
15-1
|
12
|
Temple
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
* EXACTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 2,3,5/2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6,9
|
||||
|
COMMENTS: VALUE PROPOSITION has a win and a second in two at Saratoga and has won four of nine overall. FLAVIUS jockey/trainer combo of Flavien Prat and Chad Brown have won five of nine together. DELAWARE finished just a 1/4 length behind our top choice in his last start. MIDNIGHT TEA TIME has finished in the money in eight of 11 at the distance.
|
||||
|
RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/2 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:58 PM ET |
||||
|
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250K GLENS FALLS STAKES G2
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
3-1
|
5
|
My Sister Nat
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
PLACE
|
8/5
|
3
|
War Like Goddess
|
JR Leparoux
|
|
SHOW
|
9/2
|
6
|
Dalika
|
M Mena
|
|
WILD CARD
|
8-1
|
1
|
Call Me Love
|
J Alvarado
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
6-1
|
2
|
Temple City Terror
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
10-1
|
4
|
Orglandes
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
* EXACTA: 1,3,5,6 Box
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 3,5,6/1,3,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
|
||||
|
COMMENTS: MY SISTER NAT tied for the top, last race speed figure and has put in tow good works since. WAR LIKE GODDESS is the other that hit the highest speed number last out and appears to be getting better. DALIKA and CALL ME LOVE are the two that can steal this race from the finish to the end.
|
||||
|
RACE #8 $500,000 STAKES
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET |
||||
|
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K TEST STAKES G1
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
5/2
|
7
|
Search Results
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
PLACE
|
3-1
|
5
|
Always Carina
|
F Prat
|
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
8
|
Bella Sofia
|
L Saez
|
|
WILD CARD
|
6-1
|
2
|
Souper Sensational
|
R Santana Jr
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
4-1
|
4
|
Obligatory
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
8-1
|
3
|
Zaajel
|
J Rosario
|
|
* EXACTA: 2,5,7,8 Box
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 5,7,8/2,5,7,8/2,4,5,7,8
|
||||
|
COMMENTS: SEARCH RESULTS last workout was the fastest of 32 at 5 furlongs, shes ready. ALWAYS CARINA should benefit from a cut back in distance, won her only sprint by 4 lengths. BELLA SOFIA is lightly raced and is getting better; she has the most upside potential. SOUPER SENSATIONAL has won two of three at the distance.
|
||||
|
RACE #9 $1,000,000 STAKES
1 3/16 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET |
||||
|
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M SARATOGA DERBY INVIT. STAKES G1
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
2-1
|
6
|
Bolshoi Ballet
|
RL Moore
|
|
PLACE
|
6-1
|
7
|
Secret Protector
|
ME Smith
|
|
SHOW
|
4-1
|
4
|
Cadillac
|
S Foley
|
|
WILD CARD
|
10-1
|
11
|
King Fury
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
12-1
|
1
|
Soldier Rising
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
8-1
|
2
|
Du Jour
|
J Rosario
|
|
* EXACTA: 4,6,7/4,6,7,11
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 4,6,7/4,6,7/1,4,6,7,12
|
||||
|
COMMENTS: BOLSHOI BALLET won his US debut impressively and should be better in round two. SECRET PROSPECTOR has been facing better in Europe. CADILLAC could absolutely love a firm surface, he is undefeated in three on a good rating. KING FURY ran the top last race speed figure in his first following a short rest. He should be as good or better today.
|
||||
|
RACE #10 $1,000,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET |
||||
|
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M WHITNEY STAKES G1
|
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
6/5
|
4
|
Knicks Go
|
J Rosario
|
|
PLACE
|
8/5
|
5
|
Maxfield
|
JL Ortiz
|
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
3
|
Swiss Skydiver
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
WILD CARD
|
4-1
|
2
|
Silver State
|
R Santana Jr
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
10-1
|
1
|
By My Standards
|
G Saez
|
|
* EXACTA: 4/5
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 4,5/4,5/1,2,3
|
||||
|
COMMENTS: KNICKS GO will play catch me if you can with the rest of the field, they might not. MAXFIELD has the top pedigree for the distance and surface, question is pace. SWISS SKYDIVER will have to revert to back-class, or she might finish last. SILVER STATE just got the better of BY MY STANDARDS and do not see anything since that will change that.
|
||||
|
RACE #11 $105,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:23 PM ET |
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
5/2
|
1A
|
Musical Heart
|
I Ortiz Jr
|
|
PLACE
|
7/2
|
2
|
Superfecto
|
JR Velazquez
|
|
SHOW
|
6-1
|
3
|
Risk Taking
|
M Franco
|
|
WILD CARD
|
7/2
|
5
|
Empty Tomb
|
T Gaffalione
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
5/2
|
1
|
Danny California
|
L Saez
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
4
|
Candy Tycooon
|
J Rosario
|
|
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
|
||||
|
RACE #12 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET |
||||
|
PICK ORDER
|
M/L
|
P#
|
HORSE NAME
|
JOCKEY
|
|
WIN
|
8-1
|
2
|
Off We Go
|
Rider TBA
|
|
PLACE
|
3-1
|
4
|
Harpers in Charge
|
Rider TBA
|
|
SHOW
|
5-1
|
14
|
Easy to Bless
|
D Davis
|
|
WILD CARD
|
9/2
|
7
|
Time Limit
|
L Saez
|
|
ALTERNATE 1
|
4-1
|
3
|
Sussex Garden
|
J Castellano
|
|
ALTERNATE 2
|
12-1
|
12
|
Back Channel
|
JA Vargas Jr
|
|
* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-14 BOX, 14-7 BOX
|
||||
|
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/14 BOX, 4/7/14 BOX
|
||||
Get more picks for additional tracks at 