Keeneland Select
Saratoga Tip Sheet - July 31
July 30, 2021
SARATOGA TIPS - SATURDAY, JULY 31, 2021
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Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
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RACE #1 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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6-1
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1
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Life Is Great
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J Lezcano
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PLACE
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5/2
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2
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Master Game
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I Ortiz Jr.
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SHOW
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9/2
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6
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Woodline
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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4
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Moving Pictures
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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5-1
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7
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H P Moon
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 2
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12-1
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8
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Jurkovec
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
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RACE #2 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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3-1
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1
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Fast Gordon
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J Lezcano
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PLACE
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9/2
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3
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Eight Weeks Long
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D Davis
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SHOW
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5-1
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12
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Majestic Sky
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J Alvarado
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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9
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Olivers Fortune
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B Hernandez
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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11
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Out of the Breech
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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5
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Ticket to Antigua
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D Cohen
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* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX, 12-9 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/12 BOX, 3/9/12 BOX
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RACE #3 $48,000 CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #2 CARTWHEEL
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5/2
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2
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Cartwheel
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J Lezcano
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PLACE
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7/5
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1
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Miss Liana
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M Franco
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SHOW
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6-1
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7
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Lady by Choice
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E Cancel
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WILD CARD
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10-1
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6
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Seeds of Time
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L A Rodriguez Castro
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ALTERNATE 1
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7/5
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1A
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Flat Awesome Jenny
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 2
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30-1
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5
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Annika Gold
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H K Harkie
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* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
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RACE #4 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:47 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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5/2
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7
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High Tone
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R Santana Jr.
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PLACE
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3-1
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2
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Pivotal Run
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E Cancel
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SHOW
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5-1
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4
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Tough Workout
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L Saez
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WILD CARD
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8-1
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10
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Tamburros Sox
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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6
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Noble Conquest
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 2
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20-1
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3
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Wicked Karma
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J L Samuel
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* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/4/10 BOX
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RACE #5 $90,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9/2
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5
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Honey Money
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J L Ortiz
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PLACE
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12-1
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1A
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Chasing Cara
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D Davis
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SHOW
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4-1
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3
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Beautiful Karen
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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4-1
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7
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Shanes Pretty Lady
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J Alvarado
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ALTERNATE 1
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9/2
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8
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Out First
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J Lezcano
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ALTERNATE 2
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7/2
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4
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Behind the Couch
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J Castellano
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* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
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RACE #6 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #7 OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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7
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Ohtwoohthreefive
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E Cancel
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PLACE
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8-1
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11
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Spettro
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Rider TBA
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SHOW
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5/2
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4
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Royal Spirit
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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12-1
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6
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Dowagiac Chief
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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1
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Sweeping Giant
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 2
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10-1
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2
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Nyquest Nix
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L Saez
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* EXACTA: 7-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 4/7/11 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX
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RACE #7 $103,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:29 PM ET |
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BEST BET: #8 LOVE AND THUNDER
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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8
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Love And Thunder
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J L Ortiz
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PLACE
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5/2
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11
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Easy to Bless
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Rider TBA
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SHOW
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6-1
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10
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Drawn to Race
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J Rosario
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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6
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Secret Time
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T Gaffalione
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ALTERNATE 1
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3-1
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2
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Invincible Gal
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J R Velazquez
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ALTERNATE 2
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4-1
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7
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High Opinion
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I Ortiz Jr.
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* EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 8/10/11 BOX, 6/10/11 BOX
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RACE #8 $350,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $350K ALFRED G. VANDERBILT HANDICAP G2
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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2-1
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2
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Mischevious Alex
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I Ortiz Jr.
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PLACE
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4-1
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6
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Whitmore
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R Santana Jr.
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SHOW
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3-1
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3
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Firenze Fire
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J L Ortiz
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WILD CARD
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15-1
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5
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Three Technique
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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12-1
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7
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Miles Ahead
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L Saez
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ALTERNATE 2
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9/2
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9
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Special Reserve
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 2,3,5,6 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 2,3,6/2,3,5,6/2,3, 5,6,7
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COMMENTS: MISCHEVIOUS ALEX has the top pedigree for the distance/surface and the top jockey/trainer combo. WHITMORE owns the highest speed figure for the distance, meaning he has the most potential upside. FIRENZE FIRE has good early speed and some of the best late pace numbers in the field, potentially a winning combo. THREE TECHNIQUE has finished in the money in eight of nine on a fast track with two wins, three seconds and thirds.
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RACE #9 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:39 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600K JIM DANDY STAKES G2
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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1/2
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5
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Essential Quality
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L Saez
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PLACE
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4-1
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2
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Masqueparade
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M Mena
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SHOW
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6-1
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3
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Weyburn
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I Ortiz Jr.
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WILD CARD
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6-1
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4
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Keepmeinmind
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J Rosario
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ALTERNATE 1
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15-1
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1
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Dr Jack
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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6
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Risk Taking
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M Franco
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* EXACTA: 2,3,5/2,3,4,5
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* TRIFECTA: 5/2,3/1,2,3,4
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COMMENTS: ESSENTIAL QUALITY is the best horse in the race, should make easy work of this field minus some unexpected stuff. MASQUEPARADEs recent work says he could be a horse for the Saratoga course. WEYBURN should be close to the front of the pack and speed is the way to win. KEEPMEINMINDs last race speed figure was above par for this level.
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RACE #10 $250,000 STAKES
1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:13 PM ET |
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** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250K BOWLING GREEN STAKES G3
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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9/2
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2
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Cross Border
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L Saez
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PLACE
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5-1
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1
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Channel Cat
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J R Velazquez
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SHOW
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7/2
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7
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Moon Over Miami
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J Alvarado
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WILD CARD
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5/2
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5
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Channel Maker
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M Franco
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ALTERNATE 1
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10-1
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3
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Breakpoint
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J Castellano
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ALTERNATE 2
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6-1
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4
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Rockemperor
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J Rosario
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* EXACTA: 1,2,5,7 Box
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* TRIFECTA: 1,2,7/1,2,5,7/1,2, 3,5,7
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COMMENTS: This is a very competitive race, and any can win. CROSS BORDERs record at Saratoga, five wins and a second in six, is too good to get past. CHANNEL CAT is dropping in class as measured by purse size and his last race was above par for this level. MOON OVER MIAMI ran a last race speed figure more than good enough to get the job done here with a repeat effort. CHANNEL MAKER unquestionably has the back-class, concerned about the long trip back from the UAE and some dull works since returning.
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RACE #11 $55,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:47 PM ET |
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PICK ORDER
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M/L
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P#
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HORSE NAME
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JOCKEY
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WIN
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4-1
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10
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Sharp Prospect
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L Saez
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PLACE
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15-1
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9
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Counter Offer
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M Franco
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SHOW
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6-1
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8
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Hieroglyphics
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R Santana Jr.
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WILD CARD
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5-1
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7
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Tizzarunner
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I Ortiz Jr.
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ALTERNATE 1
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6-1
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1
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Vettori Kin
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J L Ortiz
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ALTERNATE 2
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15-1
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2
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Clear Vision
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E Cancel
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* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
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* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX
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